Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Kawkab Marrakech 2-1 Ittihad Tanger.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Kawkab Marrakech, 32% draw, 34% Ittihad Tanger — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kawkab Marrakech at 34% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
Kawkab Marrakech
- W1-0away to CODM Meknès3 October 2026
- L2-3Hassania Agadir27 September 2026
Ittihad Tanger
- D1-1Moghreb Tetouan2 October 2026
- W3-1away to Amal Tiznit24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kawkab Marrakech | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 2 | Ittihad Tanger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kawkab Marrakech vs Ittihad Tanger
- 10 October 2026Kawkab Marrakech 2–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 17 June 2026Kawkab Marrakech 0–2 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 1 February 2026Ittihad Tanger 0–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 5 May 2019Kawkab Marrakech 3–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 19 December 2018Ittihad Tanger 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 10 March 2018Ittihad Tanger 1–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro