Amal Tiznit vs Difaa EL Jadida Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Amal Tiznit 2-5 Difaa EL Jadida.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Amal Tiznit, 28% draw, 30% Difaa EL Jadida — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Amal Tiznit at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Amal Tiznit vs Difaa EL Jadida
Amal Tiznit
- W1-0away to FUS Rabat2 October 2026
- L1-3Ittihad Tanger24 September 2026
Difaa EL Jadida
- L0-2Wydad AC3 October 2026
- L2-6CODM Meknès26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Amal Tiznit | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Difaa EL Jadida | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Amal Tiznit vs Difaa EL Jadida
- 10 October 2026Amal Tiznit 2–5 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 17 May 2026Amal Tiznit 0–3 Difaa EL JadidaCup