Regular Season - 7 · 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Levadiakos vs Volos NFC Super League 1 prediction

Levadia Municipal Stadium, Levaja
Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou

Our model says: Levadiakos 2–1 Volos NFC

The model makes it 47% Levadiakos, 26% draw, 27% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Levadiakos 1.78, Volos NFC 1.24.

Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published · updated

Key facts

  • Levadiakos are 13th on 1 point from 6 games; Volos NFC are bottom on null points from 6 games — Super League 1.
  • Levadiakos have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Iraklis 1908.
  • Volos NFC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Aris Thessalonikis.
  • Last 6 meetings: Levadiakos 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended Volos NFC 0–3 Levadiakos.

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

60%
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Levadiakos win Draw Volos NFC win
  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–110%
  3. 1–08%
  4. 2–08%
  5. 1–27%
  6. 2–26%
  7. 3–16%

Scores read Levadiakos first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 45%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Levadiakos at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

Levadiakos

  • L0-2away to Iraklis 190811 October 2026
  • L0-1Olympiakos Piraeus20 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Kifisia13 September 2026
  • L0-2Panetolikos6 September 2026
  • L0-2Panathinaikos31 August 2026

Volos NFC

  • L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026
  • L1-2AEK Athens FC20 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Kalamata13 September 2026
  • D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
  • D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026

What these results say

  • Levadiakos did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Levadiakos failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Levadiakos had two goals or fewer.
  • Volos NFC did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Volos NFC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Volos NFC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Levadiakos6015011-111
14Volos NFC6024612-6

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Levadiakos

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 65% today

Win 59%
Draw 70%
Defeat 73%

Volos NFC

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 86% today

Win 81%
Draw 85%
Defeat 90%

From our Super League 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.

Head-to-head: Levadiakos vs Volos NFC

  • 10 May 2026Volos NFC 0–3 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 3 May 2026Levadiakos 5–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 11 January 2026Levadiakos 3–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 24 November 2025Volos NFC 1–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 22 May 2025Levadiakos 3–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 12 April 2025Volos NFC 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Levadiakos and Volos NFC

Levadiakos

No league goals yet this season.

Volos NFC

GoalsAssists

  • M. González20

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Two sides the ratings cannot separate

Levadiakos carry a model rating of 6.46 against 6.38 for Volos NFC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.78 goals for Levadiakos and 1.24 for Volos NFC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Levadiakos rate 0.70 in attack and 1.53 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Volos NFC rate 0.68 and 1.75.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Levadiakos the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for Levadiakos against 1.24 for Volos NFC. Levadiakos's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.53 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.75 for Volos NFC.

Season stats

LevadiakosVolos NFC
6Matches6
0W 1D 5LRecord0W 2D 4L
0 0.0 per gameGoals scored6 1.0 per game
11 1.8 per gameGoals conceded12 2.0 per game
1 of 6Clean sheets0 of 6
6 of 6Failed to score1 of 6
–Penalties scored–
9 1.5 per gameYellow cards23 3.8 per game
1Red cards2
4-2-3-1 5×Usual shape4-2-3-1 4×

Levadiakos at home · Volos NFC away

3Played3
0W 0D 3LRecord0W 0D 3L
0–5Goals for – against3–8
0 of 3Clean sheets0 of 3

League matches only, Super League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Position by match

LevadiakosVolos NFC

151014 Levadiakos, match 1, 23 August 2026: at PAOK 4-0 → 13thLevadiakos, match 2, 31 August 2026: vs Panathinaikos 0-2 → 13thLevadiakos, match 3, 6 September 2026: vs Panetolikos 0-2 → 14thLevadiakos, match 4, 13 September 2026: at Kifisia 0-0 → 13thLevadiakos, match 5, 20 September 2026: vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 → 13thLevadiakos, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Iraklis 1908 2-0 → 13thVolos NFC, match 1, 23 August 2026: at OFI 2-0 → 14thVolos NFC, match 2, 29 August 2026: vs Iraklis 1908 1-1 → 14thVolos NFC, match 3, 5 September 2026: vs Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 → 10thVolos NFC, match 4, 13 September 2026: at Kalamata 3-1 → 12thVolos NFC, match 5, 20 September 2026: vs AEK Athens FC 1-2 → 14thVolos NFC, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Aris Thessalonikis 3-2 → 14th 123456 151014 Levadiakos, match 1, 23 August 2026: at PAOK 4-0 → 13thLevadiakos, match 2, 31 August 2026: vs Panathinaikos 0-2 → 13thLevadiakos, match 3, 6 September 2026: vs Panetolikos 0-2 → 14thLevadiakos, match 4, 13 September 2026: at Kifisia 0-0 → 13thLevadiakos, match 5, 20 September 2026: vs Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 → 13thLevadiakos, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Iraklis 1908 2-0 → 13thVolos NFC, match 1, 23 August 2026: at OFI 2-0 → 14thVolos NFC, match 2, 29 August 2026: vs Iraklis 1908 1-1 → 14thVolos NFC, match 3, 5 September 2026: vs Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 → 10thVolos NFC, match 4, 13 September 2026: at Kalamata 3-1 → 12thVolos NFC, match 5, 20 September 2026: vs AEK Athens FC 1-2 → 14thVolos NFC, match 6, 11 October 2026: at Aris Thessalonikis 3-2 → 14th 123456

Levadiakos are 13th after 6 Super League 1 matches (between 13th and 14th so far); Volos NFC are 14th after 6 (between 10th and 14th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored. Points deductions (Volos NFC −2) count from the first match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super League 1 matches this season: Levadiakos 6, Volos NFC 6.

Levadiakos scored 100000
Volos NFC conceded 123113
Volos NFC scored 110104
Levadiakos conceded 002035

Volos NFC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Levadiakos have let in 5 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Levadiakos

Volos NFC

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.