Masr
vs
Olympic El Qanah
Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Masr 2-1 Olympic El Qanah.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Masr, 26% draw, 26% Olympic El Qanah — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: Masr 2.15, Olympic El Qanah 1.28.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Masr vs Olympic El Qanah
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Masr at 48% here. Across 2496 settled matches, 1127 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Masr vs Olympic El Qanah
Line-ups
- 1Aly LotfyG
- 23T. AlaaD
- 3Abdallah BakriD
- 26Mohamed RabiaD
- 73Wajdi NabhanD
- 33Mohamed IbrahimM
- 10Mostafa SaadM
- 18Ahmed El SageeryM
- 72Marwane HajijM
- 11Abdelrahman El BanoubyM
- 9Ahmed AtefF
- 74Mahmoud Sayed okaaM
- 7Rafaat KhalilF
- 34M. MohamedD
- 19Mohamed EzzF
- 14Ahmed ElkalamawyF
- 30Walid FaragF
- 2Mohamed HusseinD
- 15Sameh IbrahimD
- 16M. MazzikaG
- 16Mohamed ShaabanG
- 30Ossama FathyD
- 5Ibrahim SamyD
- 2M. MahdyD
- 15Mohab SamyD
- 6Momen RadyM
- 20H. IbrahimM
- 18M. WayoM
- 25Mostafa HamadaM
- 10M. HanyM
- 9Hazem Abou SenaF
- 11Mohamed Hamdy ZakiF
- 1Mostafa MahmoudG
- 33Mohamed SadekM
- 3Ali El FilD
- 13Mohamed HozianD
- 19Mohamed El ShebiniD
- 8Mahmoud BehiryM
- 22Mohamed HassanF
- 7Hossam GreishaF
Form going into Masr vs Olympic El Qanah
Masr
- L1-2away to Enppi9 September 2026
- W1-0away to El Geish1 September 2026
- L0-2Al Ahly28 August 2026
- D0-0away to Wadi Degla21 August 2026
Olympic El Qanah
- D1-1El Geish7 September 2026
- D0-0away to Wadi Degla1 September 2026
- D1-1El Gouna FC28 August 2026
- W2-1away to Ceramica Cleopatra23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Masr | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Masr vs Olympic El Qanah
- 24 February 2023Olympic El Qanah 2–2 MasrSecond League - Group B
- 2 November 2022Masr 2–3 Olympic El QanahSecond League - Group B
- 4 February 2022Olympic El Qanah 1–0 MasrSecond League - Group B
- 8 October 2021Masr 1–0 Olympic El QanahSecond League - Group B
Leading scorers: Masr and Olympic El Qanah
Masr
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Olympic El Qanah
- M. Wayo3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 2.15 goals for Masr and 1.28 for Olympic El Qanah; the game produced 2 and 1.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Ahmet Atef 49' (Masr), Mohamed Hamdy Zaki 83' (Olympic El Qanah), Mohamed Hussein 90' (Masr).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1178 correct results out of 2496 settled predictions (47%), with 236 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Masr the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.15 expected goals for Masr against 1.28 for Olympic El Qanah. Masr's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.69 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/2.2 for Olympic El Qanah.