Nafta vs Bravo 1. SNL prediction & result
Final score: Nafta 1-0 Bravo.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Nafta, 28% draw, 33% Bravo — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Nafta at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1L. Erjavsek
- 2R. Pirtovsek
- 98A. Dragoner
- 20A. Ferreira
- 33L. Poredos
- 17A. Marosa
- 21S. Omrani
- 18A. Pihler
- 41K. Lavrencic
- 7J. Zorica
- 30M. Vidnyanszky
- 89E. Nemeth
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 99A. Micic
- 90U. Jamiu
- 23L. Kambic
- 16D. Bobson
- 19A. Sarr
- 10L. Pihler
- 77M. Rozman
- 68M. Nzuzi
- 4J. Brunnhofer
- 21L. Stravs
- 28M. Olanrewaju
- 24G. Jovan
- 6J. Ficko
- 8S. Nuhanovic
- 17J. Arinze
- 11O. Mazie
- 33M. Tucic
- 22B. Maticic
- 40M. Malensek
- 75A. Pecar
- 2R. Parra
- 95M. Fogec
- 5I. Halilou
- 9A. Jakupovic
Form going into Nafta vs Bravo
Nafta
- L0-2away to Koper19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Brinje-Grosuplje11 September 2026
- W3-1Radomlje4 September 2026
- L2-3Maribor30 August 2026
Bravo
- W2-1Olimpija Ljubljana20 September 2026
- W2-1Celje12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Aluminij5 September 2026
- W2-0Mura29 August 2026
What these results say
- Nafta conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Nafta scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Nafta had three goals or more.
- Bravo went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Bravo won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Bravo scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nafta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 16 |
| 3 | Bravo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nafta vs Bravo
- 11 October 2026Nafta 1–0 Bravo1. SNL
- 26 July 2026Bravo 0–3 Nafta1. SNL
- 12 March 2026Bravo 2–0 NaftaCup
- 2 May 2025Nafta 0–1 Bravo1. SNL
- 2 April 2025Nafta 2–2 BravoCup
- 8 March 2025Bravo 1–1 Nafta1. SNL
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.