Radomlje vs Koper 1. SNL prediction & result
Final score: Radomlje 3-3 Koper.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Radomlje, 26% draw, 48% Koper — fair odds of 3.85, 3.85 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Slovenian PrvaLiga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Koper at 48% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Radomlje vs Koper
Radomlje
- L1-2away to Brinje-Grosuplje20 September 2026
- L0-3Maribor13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Nafta4 September 2026
- D0-0Olimpija Ljubljana29 August 2026
Koper
- W2-0Nafta19 September 2026
- L1-3Olimpija Ljubljana12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Celje6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aluminij28 August 2026
What these results say
- Radomlje did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Radomlje conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Radomlje had three goals or more.
- Koper scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Koper won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Koper kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Radomlje | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 6 |
| 2 | Koper | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radomlje vs Koper
- 26 July 2026Koper 2–2 Radomlje1. SNL
- 18 April 2026Radomlje 0–3 Koper1. SNL
- 15 February 2026Koper 2–2 Radomlje1. SNL
- 25 October 2025Radomlje 1–1 Koper1. SNL
- 9 August 2025Koper 1–2 Radomlje1. SNL
- 5 April 2025Koper 3–1 Radomlje1. SNL
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.