Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica I Liga prediction & result
Final score: Odra Opole 1-0 Miedz Legnica.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Odra Opole, 33% draw, 33% Miedz Legnica — fair odds of 2.94, 3.03 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Odra Opole at 34% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica
Odra Opole
- L0-1away to Nieciecza19 September 2026
- L0-1Stal Rzeszów13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Stal Mielec5 September 2026
- D0-0ŁKS Łódź28 August 2026
Miedz Legnica
- L2-3Stal Rzeszów19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Lechia Gdansk13 September 2026
- D1-1Chrobry Głogów5 September 2026
- W2-1Warta Poznań30 August 2026
What these results say
- Odra Opole did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Odra Opole had two goals or fewer.
- Odra Opole failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Miedz Legnica scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Miedz Legnica conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Miedz Legnica.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
I Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Odra Opole | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica
- 11 October 2026Odra Opole 1–0 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
- 6 December 2025Miedz Legnica 2–1 Odra OpoleI Liga
- 28 July 2025Odra Opole 2–1 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
- 4 May 2025Miedz Legnica 2–1 Odra OpoleI Liga
- 26 October 2024Odra Opole 0–2 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
- 6 April 2024Odra Opole 0–0 Miedz LegnicaI Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.