Pohang Steelers
vs
FC Anyang
K League 1 prediction
Our model says: Pohang Steelers 1–0 FC Anyang
The model makes it 37% Pohang Steelers, 29% draw, 34% FC Anyang — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Pohang Steelers 1.31, FC Anyang 1.24.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Pohang Steelers are 9th on 40 points from 31 games; FC Anyang are 8th on 41 points from 31 games — K League 1.
- Pohang Steelers have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Incheon United.
- FC Anyang are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
- Last 5 meetings: Pohang Steelers 4 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 4 July 2026, ended FC Anyang 2–3 Pohang Steelers.
More K League 1 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pohang Steelers at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang
Pohang Steelers
- L0-3away to Incheon United9 October 2026
- W2-1FC Seoul20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Daejeon Citizen12 September 2026
- D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC9 September 2026
- L0-2away to Jeonbuk Motors5 September 2026
FC Anyang
- W1-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC10 October 2026
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Gwangju FC13 September 2026
- L2-3away to Daejeon Citizen9 September 2026
- L0-3Gangwon FC6 September 2026
What these results say
- Pohang Steelers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Pohang Steelers conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang
- 4 July 2026FC Anyang 2–3 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 19 April 2026Pohang Steelers 0–1 FC AnyangK League 1
- 15 August 2025FC Anyang 0–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 23 May 2025FC Anyang 0–2 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 12 April 2025Pohang Steelers 2–1 FC AnyangK League 1
Leading scorers: Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang
Pohang Steelers
GoalsAssists
- Lee Ho-Jae40
- J. Tranziska32
FC Anyang
GoalsAssists
- Airton50
- Matheus Oliveira42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Pohang Steelers carry a model rating of 6.35 against 6.38 for FC Anyang. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.31 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.24 for FC Anyang. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Pohang Steelers rate 0.53 in attack and 1.47 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Anyang rate 0.67 and 1.74.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour FC Anyang, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Pohang Steelers the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.31 expected goals for Pohang Steelers against 1.24 for FC Anyang. Pohang Steelers's attack/defence rating is 0.53/1.47 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.74 for FC Anyang.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Pohang Steelers at home · FC Anyang away
League matches only, K League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All K League 1 matches this season: Pohang Steelers 31, FC Anyang 31.
FC Anyang score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Pohang Steelers have let in 11 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Pohang Steelers
- at Ulsan Hyundai FC24 Oct · K League 1win 27%
- at Kashima28 Oct · AFC Champions League Elitewin 13%
- vs Gamba Osaka4 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 34%
- at Kyoto Sanga24 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 22%
- vs SHANGHAI SIPG1 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 42%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.