Reading vs Bradford League One prediction & result
Final score: Reading 1-1 Bradford.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Reading, 31% draw, 29% Bradford — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Reading at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Reading vs Bradford
Line-ups
- 1Joel PereiraG
- 2U. Godwin-MalifeD
- 15P. O'ConnorD
- 16Benn David WardD
- 5H. RobertsD
- 10L. WingM
- 4A. RinomhotaM
- 19Kyreece LisbieM
- 28J. StokesM
- 32P. LaneM
- 18J. BrownF
- 39A. AhmedD
- 6L. FraserM
- 11D. KyerewaaM
- 23C. MastersonD
- 9J. ReidF
- 25J. StevensG
- 14R. WilliamsM
- 1C. DawsonG
- 28M. PenningtonD
- 15A. BaldwinD
- 16George Christopher John PrattD
- 19K. JacksonM
- 10A. SarcevicM
- 6C. ConnollyM
- 3I. TourayM
- 8A. PhillipsM
- 23B. PointonM
- 9J. BeesleyF
- 24W. SwanF
- 25N. PowellM
- 27C. O'KeeffeD
- 22Kieran MorganM
- 32G. LapslieM
- 5M. GillespheyD
- 13Colin DoyleG
Form going into Reading vs Bradford
Reading
- D2-2away to Wycombe26 September 2026
- W2-0Notts County19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Cambridge United12 September 2026
Bradford
- W1-0away to Luton19 September 2026
- W1-0away to Notts County12 September 2026
- W1-0Mansfield Town5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Reading vs Bradford
- 3 October 2026Reading 1–1 BradfordLeague One
- 28 February 2026Reading 2–1 BradfordLeague One
- 13 December 2025Bradford 2–0 ReadingLeague One
- 16 March 2015Reading 3–0 BradfordFA Cup
- 7 March 2015Bradford 0–0 ReadingFA Cup
Leading scorers: Reading and Bradford
Reading
GoalsAssists
- J. Marriott80
- J. Brown41
- Kyreece Lisbie34
Bradford
No player in League One's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.