Albacete vs Eibar Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Albacete 1-3 Eibar.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Albacete, 30% draw, 41% Eibar — fair odds of 3.45, 3.33 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eibar at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Albacete vs Eibar
Line-ups
- 1Carlos MarínG
- 15Fran GámezD
- 22Lluís LópezD
- 21Carlos NevaD
- 4Agus MedinaD
- 17José CorpasM
- 14San BartoloméM
- 6Antonio PachecoM
- 11Víctor ValverdeM
- 10RóberF
- 9Mario SoberónF
- 32A. AlbarracínF
- 27D. BernabeuD
- 40Jota DomingoD
- 12Higinio MarínF
- 13Diego MariñoG
- 16M. El HaddadiF
- 19Alex RubioF
- 24VallejoD
- 8Javi VillarM
- 13Jon MikelG
- 22Álvaro RodríguezD
- 4Unai ElgezabalD
- 23Anaitz ArbillaD
- 24Juan BernatD
- 8Ander MadariagaM
- 30Aleix GarridoM
- 7Malcom AduM
- 21Iván GilM
- 10Jon GuruzetaM
- 9Jon BautistaF
- 15Jair AmadorD
- 18M. AranaD
- 3Imanol García de AlbénizD
- 20Javi MartónF
- 11Jon MagunazelaiaM
- 14OlaetxeaM
- 17PejiñoF
- 19Eric PérezF
- 28Lucas NuñezM
Form going into Albacete vs Eibar
Albacete
- L0-2away to Girona25 September 2026
- L1-2Cordoba18 September 2026
- D1-1away to Granada CF12 September 2026
Eibar
- W3-2Las Palmas27 September 2026
- W2-1away to Eldense19 September 2026
- W4-0away to Celta de Vigo II14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Albacete | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 1 |
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Albacete vs Eibar
- 3 October 2026Albacete 1–3 EibarSegunda División
- 24 April 2026Albacete 0–3 EibarSegunda División
- 8 November 2025Eibar 3–2 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 18 January 2025Eibar 1–1 AlbaceteSegunda División
- 9 September 2024Albacete 0–1 EibarSegunda División
- 28 April 2024Albacete 2–1 EibarSegunda División
Leading scorers: Albacete and Eibar
Albacete
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Eibar
GoalsAssists
- Jon Guruzeta32
- Iván Gil31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.