Rubin vs Dynamo Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Rubin 0-1 Dynamo.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Rubin, 29% draw, 40% Dynamo — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Russian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dynamo at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rubin vs Dynamo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 38E. StaverG
- 12A. ArroyoD
- 98N. LobovD
- 5I. VujačićD
- 13J. UrozovD
- 51I. RozhkovD
- 71I. SamoshnikovM
- 22V. HodžaM
- 14I. SaavedraM
- 11N. GripshiM
- 43J. SiweF
- 23R. BezrukovD
- 2E. TeslenkoD
- 7U. BabaevF
- 27A. GritsaenkoD
- 18M. IgnatjevD
- 6U. IwuM
- 8B. JočićM
- 86N. KoretsG
- 44D. KuznetsovM
- 99A. LunevG
- 4J. CáceresD
- 2N. MarichalD
- 57David RicardoD
- 8RubensD
- 15D. GlebovM
- 74D. FominM
- 91Y. GladyshevM
- 10BitelloM
- 11Arthur GomesM
- 70K. TyukavinF
- 28M. GutiérrezF
- 50A. KutitskiyM
- 31I. LeshchukG
- 60T. MarinkinM
- 21A. MiranchukM
- 88V. OkishorM
- 1K. RasulovG
- 33I. SergeevF
- 7D. SkopintsevD
Form going into Rubin vs Dynamo
Rubin
- D1-1away to Rodina Moskva16 September 2026
- D1-1away to CSKA Moscow12 September 2026
- D1-1Akhmat7 September 2026
- W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala30 August 2026
Dynamo
- W3-0away to FC Rostov17 September 2026
- W1-0FC Orenburg12 September 2026
- W2-1Spartak Moscow6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lokomotiv29 August 2026
What these results say
- Rubin went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Rubin scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Rubin conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dynamo won every one of these 4 matches.
- Dynamo scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dynamo kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | Dynamo | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rubin vs Dynamo
- 11 October 2026Rubin 0–1 DynamoPremier League
- 22 April 2026Dynamo 0–1 RubinPremier League
- 1 November 2025Rubin 0–0 DynamoPremier League
- 20 April 2025Dynamo 3–1 RubinPremier League
- 20 October 2024Rubin 0–4 DynamoPremier League
- 4 December 2023Dinamo Moscow 1–0 RubinPremier League
Leading scorers: Rubin and Dynamo
Rubin
GoalsAssists
- A. Arroyo31
Dynamo
GoalsAssists
- K. Tyukavin41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.