Russian Premier League predictions

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

• 11:00 UTC Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel — model 57% / 24% / 19%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.17 · 5.26. Edge: Krylia Sovetov
• 13:30 UTC Dinamo Makhachkala vs Akron — model 46% / 25% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.00 · 3.45. Evenly matched
• 16:30 UTC Lokomotiv vs FC Krasnodar — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach

Sunday 18 October — 4 matches

• 11:00 UTC Zenit vs Akhmat — model 60% / 23% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.67 · 4.35 · 5.88. One-sided: Zenit
• 13:15 UTC Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow — model 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.70 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 15:30 UTC Spartak Moscow vs Rubin — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Edge: Spartak Moscow
• 17:45 UTC Baltika vs FC Rostov — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55. Edge: Baltika

Monday 19 October — 1 match

• 16:30 UTC Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22. Edge: FC Orenburg

Friday 23 October — 1 match

• 16:30 UTC Akhmat vs FC Orenburg — model 40% / 30% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.33 · 3.33. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 4 matches

• 09:45 UTC Akron vs Dynamo — model 21% / 24% / 55%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.76 · 4.17 · 1.82. One-sided: Dynamo
• 12:00 UTC Fakel vs Rodina Moskva — model 41% / 27% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.70 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 14:15 UTC Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov — model 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.45 · 3.70. Evenly matched
• 16:30 UTC FC Krasnodar vs Baltika — model 49% / 27% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.70 · 4.17. Edge: FC Krasnodar

Sunday 25 October — 3 matches

• 10:45 UTC FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv — model 30% / 29% / 41%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.45 · 2.44. Edge: Lokomotiv
• 13:00 UTC CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 15:30 UTC Zenit vs Dinamo Makhachkala — model 68% / 19% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.47 · 5.26 · 7.69. One-sided: Zenit

Last round: the model's hits and misses

9–11 October: the model called the result of 5 of 8 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• FC Rostov 1–0 Akron — the model said 45% / 26% / 29%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• FC Orenburg 4–0 Dinamo Makhachkala — the model said 38% / 30% / 32%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Fakel 0–5 Lokomotiv — the model said 32% / 30% / 38%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• Krylia Sovetov 1–1 Spartak Moscow — the model said 31% / 26% / 43%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• FC Krasnodar 2–3 Zenit — the model said 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Akhmat 0–0 Baltika — the model said 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• CSKA Moscow 3–0 Rodina Moskva — the model said 64% / 20% / 16%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Rubin 0–1 Dynamo — the model said 31% / 29% / 40%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.