Dunkerque vs Annecy Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Dunkerque, 26% draw, 36% Annecy — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dunkerque at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dunkerque vs Annecy
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 73Moha AiramG
- 27A. LinguetD
- 26Opa SangantéD
- 2O. TouréD
- 24L. VallierD
- 6J. MorelM
- 18Théna MassockM
- 7K. AyariM
- 10A. LebeauM
- 11E. PrutsevM
- 19S. KeitaF
- 30AbnerM
- 25Franck AtoenM
- 93A. DahoF
- 21L. LoussilahoD
- 9G. RobailF
- 23A. NadeF
- 99M. NiangF
- 16M. PrévotG
- 35Firas BelabdelliM
- 1F. EscalesG
- 41T. DelphisD
- 23M. VeillonD
- 26A. Do MarcolinoD
- 27J. KouadioD
- 14M. KonéM
- 80M. SahiM
- 25P. VenotM
- 28A. LaroseF
- 9T. RambaudF
- 22C. BillemazF
- 15P. MozieM
- 21E. MarreD
- 11Souleymane FofanaM
- 8A. CasadeiM
- 16T. CallensG
- 33Gabin SecrétantD
- 19K. VeniereM
- 20Adam YahiF
Form going into Dunkerque vs Annecy
Dunkerque
- L0-2away to PAU18 September 2026
- W2-1Saint Etienne12 September 2026
- D1-1Clermont Foot4 September 2026
- L0-2away to Nancy28 August 2026
Annecy
- L1-2Dijon18 September 2026
- L1-2away to Guingamp12 September 2026
- W2-1away to Grenoble4 September 2026
- D1-1Metz29 August 2026
What these results say
- Dunkerque conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dunkerque failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Dunkerque had two goals or fewer.
- Annecy scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Annecy conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Annecy.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunkerque vs Annecy
- 31 January 2026Dunkerque 0–1 AnnecyLigue 2
- 16 August 2025Annecy 2–2 DunkerqueLigue 2
- 27 January 2025Annecy 0–2 DunkerqueLigue 2
- 16 August 2024Dunkerque 0–2 AnnecyLigue 2
- 30 March 2024Dunkerque 0–2 AnnecyLigue 2
Leading scorers: Dunkerque and Annecy
Dunkerque
GoalsAssists
- E. Prutsev21
- S. Keita21
Annecy
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.