10 October 2026, 20:30 UTC

Huachipato vs O'Higgins Primera División prediction & result

Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero, Talcahuano
Referee: Cristian Galaz Sepulveda
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Huachipato 2-0 O'Higgins.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Huachipato, 27% draw, 30% O'Higgins — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Huachipato at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Huachipato99%Draw1%O'Higgins0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Leandro Diaz
Claudio Sepúlveda
16'
⚽Maximiliano Rodríguezassist: H. Antiñirre
45+2'
60'
🔁Santiago Federico Tolozaout: Joaquín Tapia
🔁Kevin Altezout: Ezequiel Martin Canete
64'
⚽Claudio Sepúlvedaassist: Maximiliano Rodríguez
65'
Sergio Nunez
68'
🔁H. Antiñirreout: Claudio Torres
70'
70'
🔁Felipe Faundezout: Cristián Morales
70'
🔁Bastián Yáñezout: Bryan Rabello
70'
🔁Tomas Avilésout: Ignacio Schor
73'
🔁Thiago Vecinoout: Esteban Moreira
🔁Maximiliano Rodríguezout: Luciano Arriagada
78'
🔁Maicol Leonout: Carlos Herrera
78'
🔁Sergio Nunezout: Lionel Altamirano
78'
88'
Cristián Morales

Match stats — Huachipato vs O'Higgins

44%Possession56%
8Shots19
4On target7
6Corners3
1.14xG0.82

Goals against chances

Huachipato2 from 1.14 xGmore than the chances were worth
O'Higgins0 from 0.82 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Huachipato 4-1-3-2
  • 1S. MellaG
  • 20C. ToroD
  • 8P. VargasD
  • 5R. CarocaD
  • 26H. AntiñirreD
  • 6C. SepúlvedaM
  • 7M. BriceñoM
  • 24M. LeónM
  • 30K. AltezM
  • 19S. NúñezF
  • 15M. RodríguezF
Substitutes
  • 29C. TorresM
  • 12C. BravoG
  • 16L. ArriagadaF
  • 9L. AltamiranoF
  • 10E. CañeteM
  • 22Javier Nicolás Cárcamo CifuentesM
  • 11J. FigueroaF
  • 21C. HerreraM
  • 3B. MelladoD
Coach: J. García
O'Higgins 4-1-4-1
  • 31O. CarabalíG
  • 3Felipe Andrés Faúndez GonzálezD
  • 22A. RobledoD
  • 21N. GarridoD
  • 20L. DíazD
  • 17T. AvilésM
  • 28W. BouM
  • 34B. LeivaM
  • 7S. TolozaM
  • 29B. YáñezM
  • 32T. VecinoF
Substitutes
  • 2C. MoralesD
  • 18E. MoreiraF
  • 27J. MovilloD
  • 1J. PeñaG
  • 5G. PintoM
  • 10B. RabelloM
  • 25I. SchorF
  • 14M. MaturanaM
  • 30J. TapiaF
Coach: Lucas Bovaglio

Form going into Huachipato vs O'Higgins

Huachipato

  • W2-0away to Universidad de Concepcion2 October 2026
  • D0-0Colo Colo6 September 2026
  • L1-3Deportes Limache22 August 2026
  • L1-5away to Palestino18 August 2026

O'Higgins

  • L0-1away to Audax Italiano13 September 2026
  • W2-1Union La Calera6 September 2026
  • L2-3away to Universidad Catolica1 September 2026
  • L0-1Palestino23 August 2026

What these results say

  • Huachipato failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Huachipato scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • O'Higgins conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • O'Higgins failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Huachipato2394103339-631
13O'Higgins2483132838-1027

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Huachipato vs O'Higgins

  • 10 October 2026Huachipato 2–0 O'HigginsPrimera División
  • 11 April 2026O'Higgins 0–2 HuachipatoPrimera División
  • 21 July 2025Huachipato 2–1 O'HigginsPrimera División
  • 21 March 2025Huachipato 2–1 O'HigginsCopa Chile
  • 15 February 2025O'Higgins 0–0 HuachipatoPrimera División
  • 9 February 2025O'Higgins 0–0 HuachipatoCopa Chile

Leading scorers: Huachipato and O'Higgins

Huachipato

GoalsAssists

  • L. Altamirano91

O'Higgins

GoalsAssists

  • A. Castillo80

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.