Chilean Primera División predictions

8 matches ahead, from 23 October to 26 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Universidad de Chile, 55% against Everton de Vina. 2 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Friday 23 October — 1 match

23:00 UTC Audax Italiano vs Huachipato — model 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.70 · 3.57. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 2 matches

15:30 UTC Deportes La Serena vs Concepción — model 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.45 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
23:00 UTC O'Higgins vs Cobresal — model 46% / 26% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.85 · 3.57. Evenly matched

Sunday 25 October — 4 matches

15:30 UTC Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido — model 32% / 27% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.70 · 2.44. Edge: Coquimbo Unido
18:00 UTC Union La Calera vs Universidad Catolica — model 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.85 · 3.70 · 2.13. One-sided: Universidad Catolica
20:30 UTC Palestino vs Colo Colo — model 38% / 25% / 37%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 4.00 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
23:00 UTC Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Limache — model 29% / 28% / 43%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.45 · 3.57 · 2.33. Edge: Deportes Limache

Monday 26 October — 1 match

23:00 UTC Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina — model 55% / 25% / 20%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.82 · 4.00 · 5.00. Edge: Universidad de Chile

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–12 October: the model called the result of 3 of 7 matches.

Cobresal 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion — the model said 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Huachipato 2–0 O'Higgins — the model said 43% / 27% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Everton de Vina 3–2 Deportes La Serena — the model said 55% / 24% / 21%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Coquimbo Unido 5–2 Colo Colo — the model said 32% / 26% / 42%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
Concepción 1–1 Union La Calera — the model said 53% / 29% / 18%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Deportes Limache 2–2 Palestino — the model said 45% / 25% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Universidad de Chile 6–0 Nublense — the model said 58% / 25% / 17%, most likely 2-0: result correct.