Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo Primera División prediction & result
Final score: Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo Colo.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Coquimbo Unido, 26% draw, 42% Colo Colo — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Colo Colo at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13D. SánchezG
- 17F. SalinasD
- 2B. GazzoloD
- 3M. FernándezD
- 16J. CornejoD
- 8A. CamargoM
- 7S. GalaniM
- 15C. ZavalaM
- 10G. VadaláM
- 30B. ChandíaM
- 9N. JohansenF
- 1G. FloresG
- 14S. CorderoM
- 28S. CabreraD
- 31Dixon PereiraF
- 12L. PrattoF
- 27L. RiverosF
- 18P. RodriguezM
- 26L. SozaD
- 23M. ZepedaM
- 25G. MaureiraG
- 2J. VillagraD
- 23A. VidalD
- 4J. SosaD
- 28J. RojasM
- 6T. AlarcónM
- 5V. MéndezM
- 26D. UlloaM
- 8Á. MadridM
- 24L. HernándezM
- 9J. CorreaF
- 11M. BoladosF
- 54G DíazM
- 42C. DiazM
- 7F. MarchantM
- 10L. PastránF
- 50F. RaipanF
- 17I. RománD
- 21É. WiembergD
- 29VózinhaG
Form going into Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo
Coquimbo Unido
- L2-3away to Cobresal12 September 2026
- L2-4away to Universidad de Chile6 September 2026
- W1-0Universidad de Concepcion2 September 2026
- L1-2Universidad Catolica26 August 2026
Colo Colo
- D1-1Concepción13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Huachipato6 September 2026
- W5-1Audax Italiano30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Universidad de Chile23 August 2026
What these results say
- Coquimbo Unido scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Coquimbo Unido failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Coquimbo Unido conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Colo Colo went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Colo Colo scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Colo Colo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 32 |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 54 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo
- 11 October 2026Coquimbo Unido 5–2 Colo ColoPrimera División
- 13 May 2026Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Colo ColoCopa De La Liga
- 3 May 2026Colo Colo 3–1 Coquimbo UnidoPrimera División
- 21 March 2026Colo Colo 1–1 Coquimbo UnidoCopa De La Liga
- 19 October 2025Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Colo ColoPrimera División
- 26 April 2025Colo Colo 2–0 Coquimbo UnidoPrimera División
Leading scorers: Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo
Coquimbo Unido
GoalsAssists
- N. Johansen90
Colo Colo
GoalsAssists
- J. Correa135
- M. Romero81
- L. Hernández74
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.