Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor 1. Lig prediction & result
Final score: Iğdır FK 2-1 Batman Petrolspor.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Iğdır FK, 25% draw, 27% Batman Petrolspor — fair odds of 2.08, 4.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Iğdır FK at 48% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29J. SzumskiG
- 61S. AsanD
- 5A. ÖztürkD
- 18L. KouagbaD
- 28S. GönülD
- 58G. KayaM
- 21D. ErdoğanM
- 24G. CrociataM
- 33F. Afena-GyanF
- 9A. ÇolakF
- 17S. GürlerF
- 22A. SelviD
- 2B. MoğultayD
- 7M. CamaraF
- 10L. BacunaM
- 1T. TepeG
- 11Malik YilmazF
- 44L. CaliskanM
- 19Ö. ÖzcanF
- 4A. ÃztürkD
- 25Ç. AkbabaG
- 11O. ImeriD
- 4M. MertD
- 21DóriaD
- 53M. AlbayrakD
- 34M. CissokhoM
- 77BennyM
- 6Jo Jin-HoM
- 26B. ÇağıranM
- 7M. BironM
- 79G. AltıparmakF
- 27Ö. ArtanD
- 5E. AydoğanM
- 46Devran BozardicD
- 15DavidF
- 8O. GürbulakM
- 17G. KaradenizM
- 10PedrinhoF
- 3Y. SubaşıD
- 13B. TetikG
Form going into Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor
Iğdır FK
- D2-2away to Muğlaspor18 September 2026
- W1-0Mardin 196913 September 2026
- W2-1away to İstanbulspor7 September 2026
Batman Petrolspor
- L1-2Bursaspor19 September 2026
- L0-4away to Bodrum FK12 September 2026
- W4-3Fatih Karagümrük6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Iğdır FK | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Iğdır FK vs Batman Petrolspor
- 10 October 2026Iğdır FK 2–1 Batman Petrolspor1. Lig
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.