11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Kifisia vs Panetolikos Super League 1 prediction & result

Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Athens
Referee: Panagiotis Koukoulas
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Kifisia 2-0 Panetolikos.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Kifisia, 31% draw, 32% Panetolikos — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kifisia at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kifisia97%Draw3%Panetolikos0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jorge Pomboassist: Ángelo Sagal
20'
24'
Amine Bassi
Ángelo Sagal
35'
🔁Bernardo Martinsout: Jeremy Antonisse
45'
47'
Salifou Soumah
Leroy Abanda Mfomo
49'
57'
🔁Amine Bassiout: Adriano bregou
57'
🔁Salifou Soumahout: Moussa Djenepo
🔁Ángelo Sagalout: Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa
65'
🔁dimitrios theodoridisout: Apóstolos Christópoulos
65'
71'
🔁Marvelous Nakambaout: Kosta Aleksic
72'
Konstantinos Thymianis
74'
Yevhenii Kucherenko
Apóstolos Christópoulos
81'
🔁Jorge Pomboout: Georgios Kyriopoulos
81'
85'
🔁Charis Mavriasout: Mateo Mejia
85'
🔁Youssouph Badjiout: Lampros Smyrlis
Clément Jolibois
89'
🔁Seedy Jagneout: Hugo Sousa
90+2'
⚽Leroy Abanda Mfomo
90+6'

Match stats — Kifisia vs Panetolikos

45%Possession55%
17Shots13
5On target2
8Corners3
1.55xG0.67

Goals against chances

Kifisia2 from 1.55 xGabout what the chances were worth
Panetolikos0 from 0.67 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Kifisia 4-2-3-1
  • 99M. RamírezG
  • 48Tiago MansoD
  • 34C. JoliboisD
  • 24R. van EijmaD
  • 23L. AbandaD
  • 19I. JagneM
  • 17K. RoukounakisM
  • 28Á. SagalM
  • 6Jorge PomboM
  • 8Bernardo MartinsM
  • 9Dimitris TheodoridisF
Substitutes
  • 7J. AntonisseF
  • 15A. AnagnostopoulosG
  • 2K. ApostolakisM
  • 72A. ChristópoulosF
  • 33Hugo SousaD
  • 18G. KyriopoulosF
  • 74K. LampsiasD
  • 44Vangelis ManganasM
  • 5A. PetkovD
Coach: S. Leto
Panetolikos 4-2-3-1
  • 99Y. KucherenkoG
  • 35C. MavriasD
  • 2G. GranathD
  • 8K. ThymianisD
  • 15Christian ManriqueD
  • 22Diego EstebanM
  • 6M. NakambaM
  • 90K. OpokuM
  • 11S. SoumahM
  • 10A. BassiM
  • 20Youssouph BadjiF
Substitutes
  • 65A. ApostolopoulosD
  • 19A. BregouM
  • 12M. DjenepoF
  • 45David GaliatsosD
  • 28L. KojićM
  • 9José Mateo Mejía PiedrahitaF
  • 77E. NikolaouM
  • 4E. OlssonD
  • 5A. ProdromitisD
Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Form going into Kifisia vs Panetolikos

Kifisia

  • W2-1away to Atromitos19 September 2026
  • D0-0Levadiakos13 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Panathinaikos10 September 2026
  • L0-2away to OFI6 September 2026

Panetolikos

  • L1-3PAOK20 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Panathinaikos13 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Levadiakos6 September 2026
  • W2-0Kalamata29 August 2026

What these results say

  • Kifisia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Kifisia conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Panetolikos scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Kifisia622267-18
8Panetolikos630389-19

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kifisia vs Panetolikos

  • 11 October 2026Kifisia 2–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
  • 2 May 2026Panetolikos 0–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
  • 26 April 2026Kifisia 0–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
  • 9 March 2026Panetolikos 2–1 KifisiaSuper League 1
  • 25 October 2025Kifisia 1–1 PanetolikosSuper League 1
  • 13 April 2024Kifisia 0–1 PanetolikosSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Kifisia and Panetolikos

Kifisia

GoalsAssists

  • Jorge Pombo30

Panetolikos

GoalsAssists

  • G. Granath20
  • K. Opoku20

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.