Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Iraklis 1908 2-0 Levadiakos.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Iraklis 1908, 29% draw, 30% Levadiakos — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Iraklis 1908 at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33G. AthanasiadisG
- 2P. VourosD
- 21PiñaD
- 69Y. RocheD
- 30Carles SoriaM
- 90V. SourlisM
- 8N. RadojaM
- 31NanuM
- 11Ivi LópezF
- 43Pedro MarquesF
- 18R. NizetF
- 4S. ChaklaD
- 14J. HromadaM
- 7E. KoljićF
- 27M. KrainzM
- 9K. KushtaF
- 23Daniel Muñoz NavasD
- 12Xande SilvaF
- 6CarlisM
- 44R. LauritsenD
- 55N. EliasiG
- 2A. PanteaD
- 24P. LiagasD
- 4Jonathan PanzoD
- 3M. VichosD
- 8G. NikasM
- 18I. KostiM
- 11A. UrziM
- 77G. VrakasM
- 17D. EmmanouilidisM
- 99M. CobnanF
- 9O. OžegovićF
- 33Lucas AnackerG
- 66M. NdiayeM
- 14G. ManthatisM
- 20K. GoumasM
- 6Mohamed ElnenyM
- 7Juan Francisco BauzaM
- 21M. BaldeF
- 25A. BadjiF
Form going into Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos
Iraklis 1908
- D0-0away to Aris Thessalonikis19 September 2026
- D1-1Atromitos12 September 2026
- W2-0away to Asteras Tripolis7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Volos NFC29 August 2026
Levadiakos
- L0-1Olympiakos Piraeus20 September 2026
- D0-0away to Kifisia13 September 2026
- L0-2Panetolikos6 September 2026
- L0-2Panathinaikos31 August 2026
What these results say
- Iraklis 1908 went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Iraklis 1908 had two goals or fewer.
- Iraklis 1908 failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Levadiakos did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Levadiakos failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Levadiakos had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Iraklis 1908 vs Levadiakos
- 11 October 2026Iraklis 1908 2–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 4 February 2024Levadiakos 2–0 Iraklis 1908Super League 2
- 4 November 2023Iraklis 1908 0–1 LevadiakosSuper League 2
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.