Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Lask Linz 0-2 Rapid Vienna.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Lask Linz, 24% draw, 30% Rapid Vienna — fair odds of 2.17, 4.17 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Lask Linz at 46% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 1,748 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. JungwirthG
- 20K. JørgensenD
- 4X. MbuyambaD
- 43AlemãoD
- 16A. AndradeD
- 2G. BelloD
- 10R. LjubičićM
- 6M. BogardeM
- 30S. HorvathM
- 11S. KalajdzicF
- 27C. LangF
- 9K. DaněkM
- 18A. SchöpfM
- 25Y. DibangoD
- 3M. FreckletonD
- 29F. FleckerF
- 33T. SchützenauerG
- 8M. UsorF
- 23Daniel ElfadliM
- 7S. AdeniranF
- 1N. HedlG
- 77B. BollaD
- 55N. CvetkovićD
- 6S. Raux-YaoD
- 38J. HornD
- 18M. SeidlM
- 30N. BajliczM
- 22Y. DemirM
- 8T. AdamsenM
- 10P. DahlM
- 9E. KaraF
- 61F. DemirD
- 25P. GartlerG
- 71C. M'BuyiF
- 2Eaden RokaD
- 21L. SchaubM
- 7M. TilioF
- 15Nikolaus WurmbrandF
- 20K. AhoussouD
- 43M. HaïdaraF
Form going into Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna
Lask Linz
- D3-3away to TSV Hartberg20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Sturm Graz13 September 2026
- W3-1away to Wolfsberger AC1 September 2026
- W3-0SCR Altach29 August 2026
Rapid Vienna
- W3-0WSG Wattens18 September 2026
- W3-0away to Wolfsberger AC12 September 2026
- L1-5away to Red Bull Salzburg2 September 2026
- W3-1Sturm Graz30 August 2026
What these results say
- Lask Linz scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Lask Linz had three goals or more.
- Lask Linz conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Rapid Vienna scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Rapid Vienna had three goals or more.
- Rapid Vienna won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 16 |
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna
- 11 October 2026Lask Linz 0–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 4 May 2026Lask Linz 3–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 22 March 2026Rapid Vienna 4–2 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 30 November 2025Lask Linz 3–0 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 19 October 2025Rapid Vienna 0–2 Lask LinzBundesliga
- 1 June 2025Rapid Vienna 3–0 Lask LinzBundesliga
Leading scorers: Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna
Lask Linz
GoalsAssists
- C. Lang50
- S. Adeniran41
- M. Usor23
Rapid Vienna
GoalsAssists
- T. Adamsen42
- E. Kara40
- P. Dahl30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.