Austrian Bundesliga predictions

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 17:30 UTC Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg — model 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.64 · 4.55 · 5.88. Edge: Rapid Vienna

Saturday 17 October — 2 matches

• 15:00 UTC Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz — model 23% / 22% / 55%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.35 · 4.55 · 1.82. One-sided: Lask Linz
• 17:30 UTC Ried vs Austria Vienna — model 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.70 · 3.57. Evenly matched

Sunday 18 October — 3 matches

• 12:30 UTC Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach — model 65% / 22% / 13%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.54 · 4.55 · 7.69. One-sided: Red Bull Salzburg
• 12:30 UTC Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 15:00 UTC Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK — model 59% / 25% / 16%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.69 · 4.00 · 6.25. One-sided: Sturm Graz

Friday 23 October — 1 match

• 17:30 UTC SCR Altach vs Austria Vienna — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 2 matches

• 15:00 UTC WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 17:30 UTC Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau — model 70% / 18% / 12%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.43 · 5.56 · 8.33. One-sided: Rapid Vienna

Sunday 25 October — 3 matches

• 13:30 UTC Sturm Graz vs Ried — model 55% / 26% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.85 · 5.26. Edge: Sturm Graz
• 13:30 UTC TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC — model 53% / 25% / 22%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.89 · 4.00 · 4.55. Edge: TSV Hartberg
• 16:00 UTC Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg — model 37% / 26% / 37%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.70 · 3.85 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–11 October: the model called the result of 3 of 6 matches.

• Grazer AK 0–0 Red Bull Salzburg — the model said 20% / 24% / 56%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• WSG Wattens 1–2 Ried — the model said 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Austria Vienna 0–2 Sturm Graz — the model said 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• SCR Altach 3–0 Wolfsberger AC — the model said 39% / 30% / 31%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• TSV Hartberg 4–3 Austria Lustenau — the model said 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Lask Linz 0–2 Rapid Vienna — the model said 46% / 24% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result missed.