Red Bull Salzburg
vs
SCR Altach
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Red Bull Salzburg 2–0 SCR Altach
The model makes it 65% Red Bull Salzburg, 22% draw, 13% SCR Altach — fair odds of 1.54, 4.55 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (14%).
Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 2.16, SCR Altach 0.68.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Red Bull Salzburg are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd on 18 points from 8 games; SCR Altach are 11th on 6 points from 8 games — Bundesliga.
- Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 0-0 draw away to Grazer AK.
- SCR Altach have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Wolfsberger AC.
- Last 6 meetings: Red Bull Salzburg 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 4 March 2026, ended Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 SCR Altach.
More Austrian Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Red Bull Salzburg at 65% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 310 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 62.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach
Red Bull Salzburg
- D0-0away to Grazer AK10 October 2026
- W3-0Sturm Graz20 September 2026
- D1-1away to Ried11 September 2026
- W5-1Rapid Vienna2 September 2026
- W4-1Austria Vienna30 August 2026
SCR Altach
- W3-0Wolfsberger AC11 October 2026
- L0-2away to Austria Lustenau19 September 2026
- L1-2Grazer AK12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Lask Linz29 August 2026
- L1-2TSV Hartberg22 August 2026
What these results say
- Red Bull Salzburg went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Red Bull Salzburg scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- SCR Altach failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- SCR Altach conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for SCR Altach had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 18 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Red Bull Salzburg
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 29% today
SCR Altach
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 50% today
From our Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach
- 4 March 2026Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 SCR AltachCup
- 30 November 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 19 October 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 9 March 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 19 October 2024Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 28 October 2023Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
Leading scorers: Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach
Red Bull Salzburg
GoalsAssists
- K. Konaté40
- H. Tabaković30
- Y. Vertessen21
SCR Altach
GoalsAssists
- O. Diawara30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Red Bull Salzburg carry a model rating of 6.77 against 6.31 for SCR Altach. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.16 goals for Red Bull Salzburg and 0.68 for SCR Altach. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Red Bull Salzburg rate 0.87 in attack and 1.03 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; SCR Altach rate 0.51 and 1.53.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Red Bull Salzburg a 29.3% chance of the title and SCR Altach 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.16 expected goals for Red Bull Salzburg against 0.68 for SCR Altach. Red Bull Salzburg's attack/defence rating is 0.87/1.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.53 for SCR Altach.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Red Bull Salzburg at home · SCR Altach away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Red Bull SalzburgSCR Altach
Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd after 8 Bundesliga matches (between 2nd and 4th so far); SCR Altach are 11th after 8 (between 3rd and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: Red Bull Salzburg 8, SCR Altach 8.
Red Bull Salzburg score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); SCR Altach have let in 3 there.
SCR Altach score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Red Bull Salzburg have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Red Bull Salzburg
- at Celje22 Oct · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 36%
- at Lask Linz25 Oct · Bundesligawin 37%
- vs Austria Lustenau1 Nov · Bundesligawin 72%
- at Anderlecht5 Nov · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 26%
- at Sturm Graz8 Nov · Bundesligawin 35%
SCR Altach
- vs Austria Vienna23 Oct · Bundesligawin 39%
- vs Ried31 Oct · Bundesligawin 37%
- at TSV Hartberg8 Nov · Bundesligawin 25%
- vs Sturm Graz22 Nov · Bundesligawin 25%
- at Grazer AK27 Nov · Bundesligawin 30%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.