WSG Wattens vs Ried Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: WSG Wattens 1-2 Ried.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% WSG Wattens, 27% draw, 35% Ried — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts WSG Wattens at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — WSG Wattens vs Ried
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1S. HamzićG
- 5D. MurrayD
- 23M. BorasD
- 3D. GugganigD
- 28M. OswaldD
- 6Marc StriednigM
- 30M. TafernerM
- 18H. BalićM
- 36T. GoigingerM
- 17M. OlakigbeM
- 8N. FrederiksenF
- 43N. ČelićM
- 13A. EckmayrG
- 32Raphael GschösserM
- 16L. HinterseerF
- 27D. JauneggD
- 14D. KubattaD
- 10T. SabitzerF
- 11M. ŞatinM
- 37M. WelsM
- 1A. LeitnerG
- 18F. RossdorferD
- 28S. ChukwudiD
- 30O. SteurerD
- 17P. PomerD
- 6Y. MaartM
- 8M. RasnerM
- 12A. BajićM
- 22S. SchwabM
- 11J. RhodesM
- 47Evan Eghosa AisowierenF
- 29L. CapanD
- 92I. Kiese ThelinF
- 19T. Lund JensenM
- 4L. MalicsekD
- 10J. NasraweM
- 5D. RadonjicD
- 7O. SorgD
- 77F. WimmerG
- 15J. BoguoF
Form going into WSG Wattens vs Ried
WSG Wattens
- L0-3away to Rapid Vienna18 September 2026
- D2-2TSV Hartberg13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Austria Vienna2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Austria Lustenau28 August 2026
Ried
- W4-1Wolfsberger AC20 September 2026
- D1-1Red Bull Salzburg11 September 2026
- L2-3away to TSV Hartberg30 August 2026
- W1-0Grazer AK21 August 2026
What these results say
- WSG Wattens scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for WSG Wattens had three goals or more.
- Ried scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ried conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in 3 of these 4 matches for Ried.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: WSG Wattens vs Ried
- 10 October 2026WSG Wattens 1–2 RiedBundesliga
- 25 April 2026WSG Wattens 1–0 RiedBundesliga
- 14 March 2026Ried 2–1 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 22 February 2026WSG Wattens 1–1 RiedBundesliga
- 4 October 2025Ried 2–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
Leading scorers: WSG Wattens and Ried
WSG Wattens
GoalsAssists
- N. Frederiksen30
Ried
GoalsAssists
- S. Schwab31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.