Platense vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Platense 1-1 Argentinos Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Platense, 32% draw, 40% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 3.57, 3.13 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Argentinos Juniors at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Platense vs Argentinos Juniors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30J. CozzaniG
- 4A. LagosD
- 34M. MendiaD
- 31V. CuestaD
- 3T. SilvaD
- 15M. AmarfilM
- 24M. BarriosM
- 7G. MaineroM
- 18B. MerliniM
- 43N. RetamarM
- 79B. SepúlvedaF
- 5I. GómezM
- 99G. LencinaF
- 21A. LottiF
- 33J. GautoF
- 11N. LópezF
- 8F. LópezD
- 29F. MinervaM
- 6E. RaggioD
- 22N. SumavilG
- 25B. CortésG
- 17F. ParedesD
- 16F. ÁlvarezD
- 6F. VázquezD
- 20S. PrietoD
- 5Facundo CarrizoM
- 15K. GutiérrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 7D. PorcelF
- 27T. MolinaF
- 9G. VerónF
- 35A. AlcarazM
- 26C. BravoD
- 22K. CoronelD
- 10G. FlorentínM
- 19M. GiménezF
- 4É. GodoyD
- 32G. InfantinoM
- 48F. JainikoskiF
- 8H. LópezM
Form going into Platense vs Argentinos Juniors
Platense
- D2-2away to Velez Sarsfield5 October 2026
- L0-1Newell's Old Boys20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Estudiantes La Plata12 September 2026
- D1-1Deportivo Riestra4 September 2026
Argentinos Juniors
- W2-1Tigre4 October 2026
- L0-1away to Rosario Central20 September 2026
- D1-1Gimnasia La Plata13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Barracas Central7 September 2026
What these results say
- Platense did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Platense conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Platense scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Argentinos Juniors had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Platense vs Argentinos Juniors
- 11 October 2026Platense 1–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 March 2026Argentinos Juniors 1–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 July 2025Platense 0–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 February 2025Argentinos Juniors 1–0 PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 October 2024Platense 2–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 26 February 2024Argentinos Juniors 3–1 PlatenseCopa de la Liga Profesional
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.