River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: River Plate 1-0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% River Plate, 24% draw, 13% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — fair odds of 1.59, 4.17 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts River Plate at 63% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41S. BeltránG
- 29G. MontielD
- 28L. MartínezD
- 30N. OtamendiD
- 21M. AcuñaD
- 50T. AndradaM
- 15F. VeraM
- 26T. GalvánM
- 10Á. CorreaM
- 25L. PereyraM
- 9S. DriussiF
- 18L. BeltránM
- 8M. ArambarriM
- 33E. CenturiónG
- 19R. BorréF
- 20G. GonzálezD
- 31F. GonzálezD
- 24J. MezaM
- 6A. MorenoM
- 2T. PalacioD
- 38Lautaro HerreraG
- 6J. AntoniniD
- 2G. MaffiniD
- 30S. OjedaD
- 29A. QuirogaD
- 23F. RodríguezD
- 10T. GonzálezM
- 5A. CabreraM
- 17G. AlanísM
- 77I. HesarF
- 22M. ValienteF
- 3Lucas BañosD
- 8S. RosanéM
- 99J. ChalaF
- 28F. CobosD
- 9J. FerreiraF
- 11M. GarneroneF
- 14G. GonzalezD
- 12Francisco Agustín GualtieriG
- 16Y. MorenoF
Form going into River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
- L1-2Huracan19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Atletico Tucuman12 September 2026
- W3-1Independiente Rivadavia6 September 2026
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- L1-2Racing Club5 October 2026
- L1-2away to Belgrano Cordoba20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Instituto Cordoba15 September 2026
- L0-2Sarmiento Junin4 September 2026
What these results say
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | River Plate | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 17 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- 11 October 2026River Plate 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 22 March 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–2 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
River Plate
GoalsAssists
- T. Galván63
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.