BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: BK Hacken 3-0 Orgryte IS.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% BK Hacken, 22% draw, 18% Orgryte IS — fair odds of 1.67, 4.55 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts BK Hacken at 60% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99E. BerishaG
- 5B. WembangomoD
- 13H. HilveniusD
- 22F. HelanderD
- 21A. LundkvistD
- 6A. DoumbiaM
- 19D. SegerM
- 20A. SvanbäckM
- 10M. RygaardM
- 11Julius LindbergM
- 9G. LindgrenF
- 7M. AggerF
- 14M. HaalandM
- 8S. HestnesM
- 32H. IbrahimM
- 18W. UhrströmM
- 1A. LindeG
- 23O. SamuelssonD
- 15L. VäisänenD
- 27C. WawaF
- 44H. GustafssonG
- 33S. LagerlundD
- 25J. HammarD
- 6M. DyrestamD
- 18A. AnderssonM
- 23O. Parker-PriceM
- 8B. LaturnusM
- 19A. AndreassonM
- 14D. PaulsonF
- 17W. HofvanderF
- 22T. SanaF
- 7C. VindehallM
- 5C. StyffeD
- 34A. RahmG
- 2M. ParkerD
- 11D. ObouF
- 21W. KenndalM
- 29Marlon EbietomereD
- 3J. AzulayD
- 9L. AnderssonF
Form going into BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS
BK Hacken
- W5-0away to Kalmar FF20 September 2026
- D1-1Mjallby AIF11 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gais5 September 2026
- L1-3Vasteras SK FK29 August 2026
Orgryte IS
- L1-2Sirius19 September 2026
- L1-4away to Malmo FF13 September 2026
- D1-1Hammarby FF6 September 2026
- L0-1away to IFK Goteborg30 August 2026
What these results say
- BK Hacken failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- BK Hacken scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Orgryte IS did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Orgryte IS conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Orgryte IS scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BK Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 39 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs Orgryte IS
- 11 October 2026BK Hacken 3–0 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
- 11 July 2026Orgryte IS 4–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 14 February 2026BK Hacken 2–0 Orgryte ISFriendlies Clubs
- 20 June 2022Orgryte IS 2–2 BK HackenFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: BK Hacken and Orgryte IS
BK Hacken
GoalsAssists
- G. Lindgren121
- Julius Lindberg96
- A. Svanbäck67
Orgryte IS
GoalsAssists
- N. Christoffersson81
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.