Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Hammarby FF 0-1 Djurgardens IF.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Hammarby FF, 27% draw, 32% Djurgardens IF — fair odds of 2.44, 3.70 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hammarby FF at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1W. HahnG
- 2E. SkoglundD
- 6I. FofanaD
- 4V. ErikssonD
- 3F. WintherD
- 28F. AdjeiM
- 8M. KarlssonM
- 17A. BoudriM
- 20N. BesaraF
- 7P. AbrahamF
- 9V. LindF
- 27F. JakobssonG
- 45Filip JakobssonM
- 30S. KebbehF
- 24W. ReneckeD
- 5T. TekieM
- 31O. Steinke BranbyD
- 42O. MoczarnyM
- 32Essayas Luvuoss Lwampindy BofuaD
- 35J. RinneG
- 18A. StåhlD
- 5M. TenhoD
- 4J. Une-LarssonD
- 2P. JohanssonD
- 13D. StenssonM
- 20M. SiltanenM
- 8P. ÅslundM
- 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
- 19J. OkkelsM
- 9K. LienF
- 24M. LarssonM
- 21M. MarquesD
- 14C. RosenquistF
- 6P. LanghoffM
- 15O. FalleniusF
- 28A. AnderssonM
- 7Christos AlmyrasM
- 10Abdul AbdulmalikM
- 30Lukas Henrik JonssonG
Form going into Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF
Hammarby FF
- W1-0away to Degerfors IF20 September 2026
- W3-1IF Brommapojkarna13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Orgryte IS6 September 2026
- L2-3away to AIK Stockholm30 August 2026
Djurgardens IF
- L1-2IF Elfsborg20 September 2026
- W2-0Gais14 September 2026
- W1-0away to Kalmar FF7 September 2026
- W2-0away to Mjallby AIF3 September 2026
What these results say
- Hammarby FF scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hammarby FF conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in 3 of these 4 matches for Hammarby FF.
- Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Djurgardens IF won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Djurgardens IF kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 21 | +28 | 43 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 21 | +27 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF
- 11 October 2026Hammarby FF 0–1 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 26 April 2026Djurgardens IF 1–1 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 15 March 2026Hammarby FF 1–0 Djurgardens IFSvenska Cupen
- 14 September 2025Djurgardens IF 3–3 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 13 April 2025Hammarby FF 2–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 21 October 2024Hammarby FF 2–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Hammarby FF and Djurgardens IF
Hammarby FF
GoalsAssists
- P. Abraham143
- V. Lind911
Djurgardens IF
GoalsAssists
- K. Lien156
- Bo Åsulv Hegland914
- C. Rosenquist71
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.