11 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Randers FC vs Viborg Superliga prediction & result

Cepheus Park, Randers
Referee: Svendsen·Frederik
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Randers FC 0-2 Viborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Randers FC, 27% draw, 44% Viborg — fair odds of 3.45, 3.70 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Viborg at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Randers FC0%Draw1%Viborg99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
⚽Dorian Hanzaassist: Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman
Mathias Greve
45+2'
56'
Jeppe Grønning
Laurits Pedersen
61'
🔁Nikolas Langberg Dyhrout: Martin André Sjølstad
61'
🔁Mohamed Sankohout: Kasper Junker
61'
70'
🔁Charly Ngos Nouck Hornemanout: Philip Keller
🔁Axel Henrikssonout: Amady Camara
76'
🔁Elies Mahmoudout: Warren Caddy
76'
78'
🔁Hjalte Bidstrupout: Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
78'
🔁Mads Søndergaard Clausenout: Ruben Kristensen Alte
Daniel Høegh
81'
82'
⚽Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson
84'
🔁Sami Jalal Karchoudout: Giulio Gabriel
84'
🔁Dorian Hanzaout: Adam Kleis-Kristoffersen
🔁Mike Themsenout: Hector Lux
86'

Match stats — Randers FC vs Viborg

52%Possession48%
16Shots21
4On target4
4Corners7
1.02xG2.18

Goals against chances

Randers FC0 from 1.02 xGless than the chances were worth
Viborg2 from 2.18 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Randers FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. IzzoG
  • 24S. HansenD
  • 3D. HøeghD
  • 27N. HoplandD
  • 44N. DyhrD
  • 17M. GreveM
  • 8L. PedersenM
  • 21A. HenrikssonM
  • 11E. MahmoudM
  • 7M. ThemsenM
  • 30M. SankohF
Substitutes
  • 15M. SjølstadD
  • 10W. CaddyF
  • 32J. StorchG
  • 77K. JunkerF
  • 36A. CamaraF
  • 33C. EdudziF
  • 29S. StukerD
  • 26H. HoyrupM
  • 5O. JonesD
Coach: R. Bertelsen
Viborg 4-3-3
  • 20K. KiilerichG
  • 26Hjalte BidstrupD
  • 4L. KirkegaardD
  • 24D. AnyembeD
  • 23O. BundgaardD
  • 8A. BeckM
  • 13J. GrønningM
  • 6M. SøndergaardM
  • 10S. JalalF
  • 19Dorian HanzaF
  • 11C. NouckF
Substitutes
  • 1L. LundG
  • 18R. AlteM
  • 36Adam Kleis-KristoffersenF
  • 34Philip KellerM
  • 33Frederik DamkjerM
  • 3V. Lunddal FriðrikssonD
  • 41Andreas SøndergaardD
  • 25GiulioF
Coach: Nickolai Lund

Form going into Randers FC vs Viborg

Randers FC

  • L2-4away to Sonderjyske20 September 2026
  • L1-2Odense13 September 2026
  • W3-0away to Brondby6 September 2026
  • W2-1Aarhus30 August 2026

Viborg

  • W4-1FC Nordsjaelland20 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Silkeborg13 September 2026
  • L0-2Lyngby4 September 2026
  • W3-2away to AC Horsens28 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Randers FC103161116-510
3Viborg10622178+920

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Randers FC vs Viborg

  • 11 October 2026Randers FC 0–2 ViborgSuperliga
  • 13 January 2026Randers FC 2–0 ViborgFriendlies Clubs
  • 2 November 2025Viborg 3–2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 5 October 2025Randers FC 2–1 ViborgSuperliga
  • 1 December 2024Viborg 1–2 Randers FCSuperliga
  • 28 July 2024Randers FC 3–1 ViborgSuperliga

Leading scorers: Randers FC and Viborg

Randers FC

GoalsAssists

  • M. Themsen31
  • E. Mahmoud31
  • M. Sankoh30

Viborg

GoalsAssists

  • Dorian Hanza41
  • C. Nouck32
  • M. Søndergaard32

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.