FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Midtjylland 2-1 FC Copenhagen.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% FC Midtjylland, 24% draw, 33% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 2.33, 4.17 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Midtjylland at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25N. BakkerG
- 4O. DiaoD
- 2A. MaxsøD
- 22M. BechD
- 98D. MartínezM
- 8P. BillingM
- 19P. BravoM
- 29K. WätjenM
- 21D. CastilloM
- 90F. EtimF
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 15B. Dje Bi DjeD
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 30O. EjeheriG
- 20Hong Hyun-SeokM
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 9M. RajovićF
- 17M. UhreF
- 39Joseph Avwerosuoghene OkuaghareM
- 38J. EmefileM
- 1D. RamajG
- 2F. BeijmoD
- 4A. SørensenD
- 36W. ClemD
- 15M. LópezD
- 27T. DelaneyM
- 6A. MarkgráfM
- 33A. KrálM
- 10M. ElyounoussiM
- 16RobertM
- 14A. CorneliusF
- 34M. NasnasM
- 28Hunor Vajk NémethM
- 31R. RúnarssonG
- 20J. SuzukiD
- 44G. VianneyF
- 24B. MelingD
- 12T. MasekoF
- 13R. HuescasD
- 39V. DadasonF
Form going into FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
- D1-1away to Odense19 September 2026
- W4-1Brondby14 September 2026
- D2-2FC Nordsjaelland7 September 2026
- W2-0away to Aarhus2 September 2026
FC Copenhagen
- W1-0away to Brondby20 September 2026
- W2-0AC Horsens11 September 2026
- W5-0away to Odense6 September 2026
- W2-0FC Nordsjaelland3 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Midtjylland went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- FC Midtjylland scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Midtjylland conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Copenhagen won every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Copenhagen scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Copenhagen kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen
- 11 October 2026FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 14 May 2026FC Copenhagen 0–1 FC MidtjyllandDBU Pokalen
- 8 February 2026FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 5 October 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 11 May 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 FC MidtjyllandSuperliga
- 17 April 2025FC Midtjylland 4–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim53
- S. Iheanacho31
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- M. Elyounoussi72
- B. Meling41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.