11 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Silkeborg vs AC Horsens Superliga prediction & result

Jysk Park, Silkeborg
Referee: Jakob Kehlet
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Silkeborg 3-3 AC Horsens.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Silkeborg, 24% draw, 39% AC Horsens — fair odds of 2.70, 4.17 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts AC Horsens at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Silkeborg94%Draw6%AC Horsens0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽Alagie Saine
23'
⚽Jakob Bonde Jensenassist: Ivan Milićević
🔁Maël Durand de Gevigneyout: William Kirk
45'
🔁Rami Hajalout: Kristian Bloch Bøgild
45'
47'
Abdul Moro
⚽Oliver Ross (pen)
48'
59'
Jakob Bonde Jensen
⚽Oliver Rossassist: Mads Larsen
63'
⚽Oliver Rossassist: Kristian Bloch Bøgild
71'
🔁Mads Freundlichout: Andreas Poulsen
75'
75'
🔁Abdul Moroout: Adam Herdonsson
76'
🔁Yamirou Ouorouout: Julius Körkkö
76'
🔁Mikkel Kupijbidaout: Seniko Doua
82'
🔁Kingsley Bimpongout: Jimi Tauriainen
🔁Lucas Thorst Riisgaardout: Pedro Luis Machado Ganchas
82'
85'
🔁Karlo Lusavecout: Fallou Sene
🔁Oliver Rossout: Kristian Kirkegaard
85'
90+1'
Jimi Tauriainen
Kristian Bloch Bøgild
90+4'
90+5'
⚽Alagie Saine

Match stats — Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

62%Possession38%
14Shots17
7On target7
6Corners4
2.22xG3.39

Goals against chances

Silkeborg3 from 2.22 xGmore than the chances were worth
AC Horsens3 from 3.39 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Silkeborg 3-4-2-1
  • 1A. AndrésenG
  • 6M. de GevigneyD
  • 3R. ØstrømD
  • 24A. MadsenD
  • 7V. WesthM
  • 20M. LarsenM
  • 33M. FreundlichM
  • 19J. GammelbyM
  • 21L. RiisgaardM
  • 11O. RossM
  • 22R. Al HajjF
Substitutes
  • 42Kristian Bloch BøgildF
  • 14S. BergerM
  • 36J. NielsenM
  • 27W. KirkM
  • 10K. KirkegaardM
  • 30T. MikkelsenG
  • 4Pedro GanchasD
  • 2A. PoulsenD
  • 23M. HansenF
Coach: M. Dahm Kjaergaard
AC Horsens 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. DelačG
  • 26V. PálssonD
  • 35M. KupijbidaD
  • 28A. SaineD
  • 7I. MiličevićD
  • 16A. MoroM
  • 20K. LusavecM
  • 27Y. OuorouM
  • 6J. BondeM
  • 15A. JustinussenM
  • 41Kingsley BimpongF
Substitutes
  • 22J. BatigiF
  • 40Ismaila CeesayF
  • 19Jimi Weikko TauriainenM
  • 12Diomande Valassina SoloD
  • 30S. DouaD
  • 17A. HerdonssonM
  • 18J. KörkköF
  • 31A. HoffG
  • 25Fallou SeneF
Coach: Niki Zimling

Form going into Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

Silkeborg

  • W4-0away to Lyngby18 September 2026
  • D1-1Viborg13 September 2026
  • D2-2away to Aarhus5 September 2026
  • D1-1FC Midtjylland30 August 2026

AC Horsens

  • D2-2Aarhus20 September 2026
  • L0-2away to FC Copenhagen11 September 2026
  • W5-2away to Sonderjyske6 September 2026
  • L2-3Viborg28 August 2026

What these results say

  • Silkeborg went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Silkeborg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Silkeborg failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • AC Horsens conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • AC Horsens failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • AC Horsens scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Silkeborg102531515011
6AC Horsens103341819-112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs AC Horsens

  • 11 October 2026Silkeborg 3–3 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 19 May 2023AC Horsens 0–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 11 April 2023Silkeborg 1–2 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 23 October 2022AC Horsens 3–2 SilkeborgSuperliga
  • 2 October 2022Silkeborg 2–1 AC HorsensSuperliga
  • 23 September 2021AC Horsens 3–2 SilkeborgDBU Pokalen

Leading scorers: Silkeborg and AC Horsens

Silkeborg

GoalsAssists

  • O. Ross61

AC Horsens

GoalsAssists

  • K. Ehibhatiomhan40

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.