Brondby vs Lyngby Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Brondby 5-2 Lyngby.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Brondby, 27% draw, 26% Lyngby — fair odds of 2.13, 3.70 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brondby at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Brondby vs Lyngby
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1P. PentzG
- 2O. VilladsenD
- 32F. AlvesD
- 4L. BinksD
- 24M. DivkovićD
- 99B. SliszM
- 18M. EjdumM
- 21M. YounisM
- 29M. Frøkjær-JensenM
- 7O. HyseniM
- 38J. AmbækF
- 51O. FengerF
- 37R. CanutD
- 11F. BundgaardF
- 19S. FukudaF
- 15C. WintherM
- 9P. MortensenF
- 3Christopher OlivierD
- 50W. Sonne SchmidG
- 10D. WassM
- 31D. KochenG
- 2O. BuurD
- 24M. GaranangaD
- 12David Helgi AronssonD
- 25R. TytensD
- 19G. FrauloM
- 14L. SandgravM
- 18J. ThomasenM
- 5Oliver HøjerM
- 26F. GytkjærF
- 10Í. ÞorvaldssonF
- 16Z. SertdemirM
- 4C. AllenD
- 35M. AndersonF
- 8M. HeboM
- 6D. KristjánssonD
- 22S. NgaboM
- 1J. ÆgidiusG
- 17W. SteindorssonM
- 30M. FischerD
Form going into Brondby vs Lyngby
Brondby
- L0-1FC Copenhagen20 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Midtjylland14 September 2026
- L0-3Randers FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Nordsjaelland30 August 2026
Lyngby
- L0-4Silkeborg18 September 2026
- D1-1Sonderjyske13 September 2026
- W2-0away to Viborg4 September 2026
- D1-1Odense30 August 2026
What these results say
- Brondby did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Brondby conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.
- Lyngby failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lyngby scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lyngby conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Brondby vs Lyngby
- 11 October 2026Brondby 5–2 LyngbySuperliga
- 3 March 2025Brondby 1–1 LyngbySuperliga
- 4 August 2024Lyngby 0–2 BrondbySuperliga
- 26 November 2023Lyngby 3–3 BrondbySuperliga
- 13 August 2023Brondby 3–0 LyngbySuperliga
- 5 March 2023Lyngby 1–0 BrondbySuperliga
Leading scorers: Brondby and Lyngby
Brondby
GoalsAssists
- O. Hyseni33
Lyngby
GoalsAssists
- Í. Þorvaldsson32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.