Tranmere vs Walsall League Two prediction & result
Final score: Tranmere 1-1 Walsall.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Tranmere, 30% draw, 37% Walsall — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Walsall at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Tranmere vs Walsall
Line-ups
- 12H. MaleG
- 2J. SeniorD
- 16B. FaulknerD
- 5N. SmithD
- 3J. SlaterD
- 6W. VaulksM
- 11T. ConlonM
- 17Z. OkoroM
- 10T. InceM
- 7Charlie Jay WhitakerM
- 9J. IronsideF
- 13C. Boyce-ClarkeG
- 23P. BroughD
- 15J. DaviesM
- 8S. FinleyM
- 24David KamaraF
- 22L. O'ConnorD
- 29D. JonesF
- 1J. WardG
- 22E. AhuiD
- 25D. SkuraD
- 4J. ConnollyD
- 3M. HancockD
- 15Isaac MooreM
- 6S. SpranglerM
- 10L. SimperM
- 9A. DallasM
- 11R. SmithM
- 19A. PressleyF
- 31Tom WoosterG
- 7Taione Richard Evumena SodjeF
- 26R. LeakD
- 29J. FurlongD
- 57R. SjordesmaM
- 53Will EtheridgeM
- 37A. AdomahF
Form going into Tranmere vs Walsall
Tranmere
- D0-0away to Exeter City19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Gillingham12 September 2026
Walsall
- W2-0Port Vale19 September 2026
- D0-0Rochdale12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Exeter City5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tranmere vs Walsall
- 26 September 2026Tranmere 1–1 WalsallLeague Two
- 17 January 2026Tranmere 1–3 WalsallLeague Two
- 20 September 2025Walsall 4–2 TranmereLeague Two
- 11 January 2025Walsall 5–1 TranmereLeague Two
- 24 August 2024Tranmere 1–0 WalsallLeague Two
- 6 April 2024Tranmere 1–3 WalsallLeague Two
Leading scorers: Tranmere and Walsall
Tranmere
No player in League Two's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Walsall
GoalsAssists
- A. Pressley50
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.