Rotherham vs Crewe League Two prediction & result
Final score: Rotherham 1-1 Crewe.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Rotherham, 31% draw, 32% Crewe — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rotherham at 37% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rotherham vs Crewe
Line-ups
- 13J. EyestoneG
- 12D. HallD
- 27D. IorfaD
- 14Sonny AljofreeD
- 23A. NemaneM
- 8K. SpenceM
- 6O. AshleyM
- 24J. BuyabuM
- 4J. AusterfieldM
- 9T. BradshawF
- 10P. MullinF
- 1T. CannG
- 16E. AdegboyegaD
- 26H. DouglasM
- 15Jayce FitzgeraldM
- 17Marvin Marvellous KaletaD
- 2J. RaffertyD
- 1T. BoothG
- 2L. BillingtonD
- 6L. OffordD
- 12J. StephensonD
- 4Kyle UreD
- 17M. HolíčekM
- 10J. WhiteM
- 9J. MarchM
- 11J. TabinerM
- 14J. GibsonM
- 29A. ThibautF
- 7J. LankesterM
- 13I. LawlorG
- 19O. LuntM
- 23C. McNeillF
- 32L. MooreM
- 8C. ThomasM
- 30Stan DanceyD
Form going into Rotherham vs Crewe
Rotherham
- W1-0away to Northampton19 September 2026
- D3-3Salford City12 September 2026
Crewe
- D1-1Shrewsbury19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Colchester12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rotherham vs Crewe
- 26 September 2026Rotherham 1–1 CreweLeague Two
- 13 August 2024Rotherham 2–1 CreweLeague Cup
- 23 July 2022Crewe 1–2 RotherhamFriendlies Clubs
- 29 January 2022Crewe 0–2 RotherhamLeague One
- 4 January 2022Crewe 2–4 RotherhamEFL Trophy
- 25 September 2021Rotherham 1–1 CreweLeague One
Leading scorers: Rotherham and Crewe
Rotherham
GoalsAssists
- P. Mullin50
Crewe
GoalsAssists
- J. March32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.