Port Vale vs Northampton League Two postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 40% Port Vale, 31% draw, 29% Northampton — fair odds of 2.50, 3.23 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Port Vale at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Port Vale vs Northampton
Port Vale
- L0-2away to Walsall19 September 2026
- W1-0Exeter City12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Salford City5 September 2026
- L1-3away to Swindon Town1 September 2026
Northampton
- L0-1Rotherham19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Shrewsbury12 September 2026
- W1-0Newport County5 September 2026
- D1-1Crawley Town1 September 2026
What these results say
- Port Vale failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Port Vale conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Port Vale had two goals or fewer.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Northampton had two goals or fewer.
- Northampton failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Northampton conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Port Vale vs Northampton
- 24 February 2026Northampton 0–1 Port ValeLeague One
- 4 October 2025Port Vale 0–0 NorthamptonLeague One
- 1 April 2024Northampton 2–0 Port ValeLeague One
- 16 September 2023Port Vale 1–0 NorthamptonLeague One
- 12 February 2022Port Vale 0–0 NorthamptonLeague Two
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.