Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato Primera División prediction & result
Final score: Universidad de Concepcion 0-2 Huachipato.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Universidad de Concepcion, 30% draw, 35% Huachipato — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Chilean Primera División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universidad de Concepcion at 35% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato
Line-ups
- 1Jorge BrounG
- 26Tomás RocoD
- 17Moisés GonzálezD
- 4Osvaldo GonzálezD
- 3Miguel BarbieriD
- 15Yerco OyanedelD
- 16Bryan OgazM
- 20Luis RojasM
- 19Cristhofer MesíasM
- 22Rogelio Funes MoriF
- 18Cecilio WatermanF
- 5David RetamalD
- 25Harol SalgadoF
- 7Iam GonzálezF
- 8Facundo MaterM
- 29Diego Antonio Sabando SanhuezaF
- 13José SanhuezaG
- 23Patricio RomeroD
- 21Jorge EspejoD
- 32Benjamín SáezD
- 1Sebastián MellaG
- 20Cristian ToroD
- 8Nicolás VargasD
- 5Rafael CarocaD
- 26Harold AntiñirreD
- 6Claudio SepúlvedaM
- 7Mario BriceñoM
- 24Maicol LeónM
- 30Kevin AltezM
- 19Sergio NúñezF
- 15Maximiliano RodríguezF
- 10Ezequiel CañeteM
- 9Lionel AltamiranoF
- 22Javier Nicolás CárcamoM
- 23Cris MartínezF
- 29Claudio TorresM
- 49Ignacio CruzatG
- 3Benjamín MelladoD
- 16Luciano ArriagadaF
- 54Antonio PerlazaF
Form going into Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato
Universidad de Concepcion
- L1-2away to Palestino6 September 2026
- L0-1away to Coquimbo Unido2 September 2026
- W2-1Universidad de Chile30 August 2026
Huachipato
- D0-0Colo Colo6 September 2026
- L1-3Deportes Limache22 August 2026
- L1-5away to Palestino18 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 23 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato
- 2 October 2026Universidad de Concepcion 0–2 HuachipatoPrimera División
- 7 April 2026Huachipato 5–1 Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División
- 23 November 2020Universidad de Concepcion 0–1 HuachipatoPrimera División
- 8 February 2020Huachipato 1–1 Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División
- 18 August 2019Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 HuachipatoPrimera División
- 19 May 2019Huachipato 1–0 Universidad de ConcepcionPrimera División
Leading scorers: Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato
Universidad de Concepcion
No player in Primera División's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Huachipato
GoalsAssists
- L. Altamirano91
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.