Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wieczysta Kraków 3-0 Wisla Plock.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Wieczysta Kraków, 26% draw, 30% Wisla Plock — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wieczysta Kraków at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 77M. KochalskiG
- 15A. ĐermanovićD
- 16A. MilićD
- 55D. DujmovićD
- 4K. FilaM
- 10T. ChristensenM
- 20M. MaigaardM
- 33K. PestkaM
- 19José de la RosaF
- 9E. KoulourisF
- 12Lucas PiazónF
- 7Lisandro SemedoF
- 27M. VojtkoD
- 13K. ZagrodzkiD
- 17K. DankowskiD
- 21B. BiałekF
- 8B. LedermanM
- 88C. LungoyiF
- 1A. MikułkoG
- 97T. MrasM
- 12R. LeszczyńskiG
- 4M. Haglind-SangréD
- 35M. KamińskiD
- 34Afonso SilvaD
- 21Ž. RogeljM
- 18J. PrširM
- 5Sidnei TavaresM
- 23P. KunM
- 57S. AkereF
- 20Ł. SekulskiF
- 7O. KobackiF
- 41M. WięckowskiD
- 88K. SavvidīsM
- 6K. PomorskiM
- 44P. MisiakD
- 91G. KuchkoM
- 9D. JurićF
- 16F. HiszpańskiM
- 10S. HamulićF
- 19D. GallapeniD
Form going into Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
- D2-2away to Widzew Łódź18 September 2026
- L0-2away to Pogon Szczecin13 September 2026
- D1-1Zaglebie Lubin7 September 2026
Wisla Plock
- W2-0away to Zaglebie Lubin20 September 2026
- W3-1Cracovia Krakow13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Pogon Szczecin7 September 2026
- L0-2Korona Kielce28 August 2026
What these results say
- Wisla Plock scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wisla Plock conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Wisla Plock had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock
- 9 October 2026Wieczysta Kraków 3–0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
GoalsAssists
- Lucas Piazón32
Wisla Plock
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.