Dunfermline sit 5th in the Championship on 13 points from 8 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 5. On the model's scale they rate 0.54 in attack and 1.69 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.10: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws, most recently drawing with Ayr Utd 1-1 away. That is 1.63 points a match, scoring 0.88 and conceding 0.63 per game across 3 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat. That leaves them 9 points behind Stenhousemuir at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 2nd-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Livingston in the Championship on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 48%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | WWWWL | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | WDLWW | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | WLDWW | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | +3 | WDWLL | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | WDWWD | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | WDWWL | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | LWLWD | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | LLWLL | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | LLLLW | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | -11 | LLLLW | 4 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Dunfermline sit 5 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D1-1away to Ayr Utd10 October 2026
- W1-0away to Morton19 September 2026
- W2-0Queen's Park12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Arbroath5 September 2026
- W1-0Raith Rovers28 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Dunfermline vs Livingston
Dunfermline host Livingston at East End Park, Dunfermline on 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 48% Dunfermline, 27% draw and 25% Livingston, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.72 expected goals for Dunfermline against 1.10. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Dunfermline vs Livingston
Recent meetings with Livingston
- 22 August 2026Livingston 2–0 DunfermlineChampionship
- 2 April 2025Dunfermline 1–0 LivingstonChampionship
- 15 February 2025Livingston 0–0 DunfermlineChampionship
- 5 February 2025Dunfermline 0–2 LivingstonChallenge Cup
- 29 October 2024Dunfermline 3–0 LivingstonChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.