Raith Rovers sit 2nd in the Championship on 20 points from 10 matches, having scored 15 and conceded 6. On the model's scale they rate 0.51 in attack and 1.97 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.10: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Queen's Park 2-0 at home. That is 2.00 points a match, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.60 per game across 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 2 points behind Stenhousemuir at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 5th-best attack and the 6th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they travel to Stenhousemuir in the Championship on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 25%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | WWWWL | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | WDLWW | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | WLDWW | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | +3 | WDWLL | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | WDWWD | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | WDWWL | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | LWLWD | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | LLWLL | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | LLLLW | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | -11 | LLLLW | 4 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Raith Rovers sit 2 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-0Queen's Park10 October 2026
- W2-1away to Morton3 October 2026
- L0-2Livingston25 September 2026
- D0-0away to Partick19 September 2026
- W4-0Arbroath12 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir
Raith Rovers travel to Stenhousemuir at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir on 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 25% Raith Rovers, 28% draw and 47% Stenhousemuir, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.93 expected goals for Raith Rovers against 1.51. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Full preview and model analysis for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir
Recent meetings with Stenhousemuir
- 1 August 2026Raith Rovers 1–1 StenhousemuirChampionship
- 6 April 2019Stenhousemuir 1–1 Raith RoversLeague One
- 5 January 2019Raith Rovers 5–1 StenhousemuirLeague One
- 17 November 2018Stenhousemuir 1–3 Raith RoversLeague One
- 11 August 2018Raith Rovers 2–0 StenhousemuirLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.