Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park Championship prediction & result
Final score: Raith Rovers 2-0 Queen's Park.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Raith Rovers, 22% draw, 15% Queen's Park — fair odds of 1.59, 4.55 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Scottish Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Raith Rovers at 63% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
- W2-1away to Morton3 October 2026
- L0-2Livingston25 September 2026
- D0-0away to Partick19 September 2026
- W4-0Arbroath12 September 2026
Queen's Park
- L1-2away to Arbroath25 September 2026
- L0-2Ayr Utd18 September 2026
- L0-2away to Dunfermline12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park
- 8 August 2026Queen's Park 1–2 Raith RoversChampionship
- 14 April 2026Queen's Park 0–2 Raith RoversChampionship
- 27 January 2026Queen's Park 1–1 Raith RoversChallenge Cup
- 24 January 2026Raith Rovers 4–1 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 8 November 2025Queen's Park 2–1 Raith RoversChampionship
- 2 August 2025Raith Rovers 1–1 Queen's ParkChampionship
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.