Scottish Championship predictions

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 18:30 UTC Ayr Utd vs Partick — model 28% / 27% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.57 · 3.70 · 2.22. One-sided: Partick

Saturday 17 October — 4 matches

• 14:00 UTC Inverness CT vs Arbroath — model 34% / 28% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.57 · 2.63. Edge: Arbroath
• 14:00 UTC Morton vs Queen's Park — model 42% / 27% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23. Evenly matched
• 14:00 UTC Dunfermline vs Livingston — model 48% / 27% / 25%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.70 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 14:00 UTC Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers — model 47% / 28% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.57 · 4.00. Evenly matched

Tuesday 20 October — 1 match

• 18:45 UTC Dunfermline vs Partick — model 44% / 28% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.27 · 3.57 · 3.57. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 5 matches

• 14:00 UTC Livingston vs Arbroath — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 14:00 UTC Partick vs Stenhousemuir — model 43% / 29% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.45 · 3.57. Evenly matched
• 14:00 UTC Morton vs Ayr Utd — model 36% / 27% / 37%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.78 · 3.70 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
• 14:00 UTC Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT — model 50% / 25% / 25%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 4.00 · 4.00. Evenly matched
• 14:00 UTC Queen's Park vs Dunfermline — model 22% / 27% / 51%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.55 · 3.70 · 1.96. One-sided: Dunfermline

Tuesday 27 October — 1 match

• 19:45 UTC Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline — model 41% / 30% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.33 · 3.45. Evenly matched

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–13 October: the model called the result of 1 of 6 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• Arbroath 1–2 Morton — the model said 73% / 17% / 10%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
• Ayr Utd 1–1 Dunfermline — the model said 27% / 27% / 46%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Inverness CT 2–0 Stenhousemuir — the model said 29% / 29% / 42%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Livingston 1–2 Partick — the model said 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Raith Rovers 2–0 Queen's Park — the model said 63% / 22% / 15%, most likely 2-0: exact scoreline.
• Queen's Park 2–1 Inverness CT — the model said 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 0-1: result missed.