Ayr Utd sit 7th in the Championship on 12 points from 10 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.40 in attack and 2.41 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.10: below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Dunfermline 1-1 at home. That is 1.20 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.10 per game across 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 10 points behind Stenhousemuir at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 8th-best attack and the 8th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Partick in the Championship on 16 October 2026, a match the model gives them 28%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | WWWWL | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | WDLWW | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | WLDWW | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | +3 | WDWLL | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | WDWWD | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | WDWWL | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | LWLWD | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | LLWLL | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | LLLLW | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | -11 | LLLLW | 4 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Ayr Utd sit 7 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D1-1Dunfermline10 October 2026
- W2-1away to Livingston3 October 2026
- L0-1Stenhousemuir25 September 2026
- W2-0away to Queen's Park18 September 2026
- L1-3Inverness CT12 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Ayr Utd vs Partick
Ayr Utd host Partick at Somerset Park, Ayr on 16 October 2026, 18:30 UTC. The model makes it 28% Ayr Utd, 27% draw and 45% Partick, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.13 expected goals for Ayr Utd against 1.60. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Full preview and model analysis for Ayr Utd vs Partick
Recent meetings with Partick
- 5 September 2026Partick 1–0 Ayr UtdChampionship
- 4 April 2026Ayr Utd 1–1 PartickChampionship
- 24 January 2026Partick 2–1 Ayr UtdChampionship
- 6 December 2025Ayr Utd 0–0 PartickChampionship
- 21 October 2025Partick 2–1 Ayr UtdChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.