Livingston sit 4th in the Championship on 13 points from 10 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.54 in attack and 1.96 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.10: above the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently losing to Partick 1-2 at home. That is 1.30 points a match, scoring 1.40 and conceding 1.10 per game across 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. That leaves them 9 points behind Stenhousemuir at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 5th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they travel to Dunfermline in the Championship on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 25%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | WWWWL | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | WDLWW | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | WLDWW | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | +3 | WDWLL | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | WDWWD | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | WDWWL | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | LWLWD | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | LLWLL | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | LLLLW | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | -11 | LLLLW | 4 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Livingston sit 4 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2Partick10 October 2026
- L1-2Ayr Utd3 October 2026
- W2-0away to Raith Rovers25 September 2026
- D2-2Inverness CT19 September 2026
- W4-1away to Morton11 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Livingston vs Dunfermline
Livingston travel to Dunfermline at East End Park, Dunfermline on 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 25% Livingston, 27% draw and 48% Dunfermline, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.10 expected goals for Livingston against 1.72. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Full preview and model analysis for Livingston vs Dunfermline
Recent meetings with Dunfermline
- 22 August 2026Livingston 2–0 DunfermlineChampionship
- 2 April 2025Dunfermline 1–0 LivingstonChampionship
- 15 February 2025Livingston 0–0 DunfermlineChampionship
- 5 February 2025Dunfermline 0–2 LivingstonChallenge Cup
- 29 October 2024Dunfermline 3–0 LivingstonChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.