Arbroath sit 8th in the Championship on 11 points from 10 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 15. On the model's scale they rate 0.53 in attack and 1.69 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.10: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently losing to Morton 1-2 at home. That is 1.10 points a match, scoring 0.70 and conceding 1.50 per game across 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. That leaves them 11 points behind Stenhousemuir at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 4th-best attack and the 2nd-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they travel to Inverness CT in the Championship on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 38%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | WWWWL | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | WDLWW | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | WLDWW | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | +3 | WDWLL | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | WDWWD | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | WDWWL | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | LWLWD | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | LLWLL | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | LLLLW | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | -11 | LLLLW | 4 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Arbroath sit 8 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2Morton10 October 2026
- L0-3away to Partick3 October 2026
- W2-1Queen's Park25 September 2026
- L0-1away to Stenhousemuir19 September 2026
- L0-4away to Raith Rovers12 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Arbroath vs Inverness CT
Arbroath travel to Inverness CT at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness on 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 38% Arbroath, 28% draw and 34% Inverness CT, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.43 expected goals for Arbroath against 1.35. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Full preview and model analysis for Arbroath vs Inverness CT
Recent meetings with Inverness CT
- 8 August 2026Arbroath 0–0 Inverness CTChampionship
- 26 April 2025Inverness CT 3–0 ArbroathLeague One
- 8 February 2025Arbroath 3–0 Inverness CTLeague One
- 14 December 2024Inverness CT 0–2 ArbroathLeague One
- 5 October 2024Arbroath 1–0 Inverness CTLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.