Inverness CT sit 6th in the Championship on 13 points from 10 matches, having scored 12 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.49 in attack and 2.24 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.10: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently losing to Queen's Park 1-2 away. That is 1.30 points a match, scoring 1.20 and conceding 1.10 per game across 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 9 points behind Stenhousemuir at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 6th-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Arbroath in the Championship on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 34%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | +8 | WWWWL | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | WDLWW | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | WLDWW | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:11 | +3 | WDWLL | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | WDWWD | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | WDWWL | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | LWLWD | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | LLWLL | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | LLLLW | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:18 | -11 | LLLLW | 4 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Inverness CT sit 6 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2away to Queen's Park13 October 2026
- W2-0Stenhousemuir10 October 2026
- W2-0Morton25 September 2026
- D2-2away to Livingston19 September 2026
- W3-1away to Ayr Utd12 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Inverness CT vs Arbroath
Inverness CT host Arbroath at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness on 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 34% Inverness CT, 28% draw and 38% Arbroath, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.35 expected goals for Inverness CT against 1.43. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Full preview and model analysis for Inverness CT vs Arbroath
Recent meetings with Arbroath
- 8 August 2026Arbroath 0–0 Inverness CTChampionship
- 26 April 2025Inverness CT 3–0 ArbroathLeague One
- 8 February 2025Arbroath 3–0 Inverness CTLeague One
- 14 December 2024Inverness CT 0–2 ArbroathLeague One
- 5 October 2024Arbroath 1–0 Inverness CTLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.