Bulgarian First League predictions

Saturday 24 October — 7 matches

• 15:00 UTC Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna — model 43% / 27% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.33 · 3.70 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 15:00 UTC Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70. Evenly matched
• 15:00 UTC CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets — model 34% / 30% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.33 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia — model 32% / 36% / 32%, most likely 0-0, fair odds 3.13 · 2.78 · 3.13. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45. Evenly matched
• 15:00 UTC CSKA 1948 vs Botev Plovdiv — model 48% / 26% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 3.85 · 3.85. Evenly matched
• 15:00 UTC Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia — model 17% / 25% / 58%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 5.88 · 4.00 · 1.72. One-sided: Levski Sofia

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10–12 October: the model called the result of 4 of 7 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

• Botev Vratsa 0–1 Spartak Varna — the model said 44% / 29% / 27%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — the model said 43% / 29% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Slavia Sofia — the model said 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Septemvri Sofia 2–3 Dunav Ruse — the model said 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Cherno More Varna 0–2 Levski Sofia — the model said 14% / 22% / 64%, most likely 0-2: exact scoreline.
• CSKA 1948 2–3 CSKA Sofia — the model said 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
• Ludogorets 5–0 Arda Kardzhali — the model said 53% / 27% / 20%, most likely 1-0: result correct.