Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia First League prediction & result
Final score: Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Botev Plovdiv, 29% draw, 26% Slavia Sofia — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Botev Plovdiv at 45% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
Line-ups
- 29D. NaumovG
- 27B. HeinD
- 4N. SoldoD
- 87S. PetrovD
- 82V. MendesD
- 10A. ChandarovM
- 77Lucas AraújoM
- 90S. KaluF
- 16V. VidolovM
- 19Mauro RodriguesF
- 7Alberto SalidoM
- 14Carlos AlgarraM
- 20T. AwanyD
- 88W. ChimezieF
- 15B. KostovD
- 30Franklin MascoteF
- 66C. MeottiF
- 17G. MilanovM
- 22M. SengerD
- 11S. ShopovM
- 99I. AndonovG
- 87D. FerraressoD
- 4N. SavićD
- 24L. MarinD
- 26D. BurovD
- 95V. MiletićM
- 71K. StoyanovD
- 77E. StoevF
- 73I. MinchevM
- 17Vasil KazaldzhievF
- 10V. NikolovM
- 6B. TodorovM
- 8Petrov Georgi ShopovF
- 20J. Semedo VarelaD
- 7R. RaychevF
- 63L. NtumbaG
- 5David MalembanaD
- 19E. GogevF
- 3M. GeorgievD
- 9Y. BornosuzovF
Form going into Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
- W3-0away to Septemvri Sofia19 September 2026
- W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv13 September 2026
- W3-2away to Arda Kardzhali4 September 2026
- L1-3Levski Sofia30 August 2026
Slavia Sofia
- L1-2CSKA 194818 September 2026
- D0-0Spartak Varna13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Dunav Ruse7 September 2026
- L1-2Levski Sofia2 September 2026
What these results say
- Botev Plovdiv scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Botev Plovdiv won 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Botev Plovdiv had three goals or more.
- Slavia Sofia failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Slavia Sofia scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
- 10 October 2026Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 20 March 2026Slavia Sofia 0–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 18 October 2025Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 3 March 2025Slavia Sofia 3–2 Botev PlovdivFirst League
- 19 October 2024Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
- 20 May 2024Slavia Sofia 3–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.