Croatian HNL predictions

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 16:00 UTC Rudes vs HNK Rijeka — model 29% / 26% / 45%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.45 · 3.85 · 2.22. One-sided: HNK Rijeka

Saturday 17 October — 2 matches

• 13:00 UTC NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 — model 39% / 29% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.56 · 3.45 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 16:00 UTC NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica — model 46% / 31% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.23 · 4.35. Evenly matched

Sunday 18 October — 2 matches

• 13:00 UTC HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin — model 48% / 29% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.45 · 4.35. Edge: HNK Hajduk Split
• 16:00 UTC NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb — model 21% / 23% / 56%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.76 · 4.35 · 1.79. One-sided: Dinamo Zagreb

Saturday 24 October — 3 matches

• 15:00 UTC NK Osijek vs Rudes — model 56% / 23% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.35 · 4.76. Edge: NK Osijek
• 15:00 UTC HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — model 38% / 32% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.13 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 15:00 UTC NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo — model 55% / 26% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.85 · 5.26. Edge: NK Varazdin

Last round: the model's hits and misses

9–11 October: the model called the result of 2 of 5 matches, 2 of them to the exact score.

• HNK Gorica 1–2 Rudes — the model said 52% / 26% / 22%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Dinamo Zagreb — the model said 37% / 27% / 36%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
• NK Osijek 1–3 Istra 1961 — the model said 45% / 29% / 26%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 NK Varazdin — the model said 34% / 30% / 36%, most likely 0-1: exact scoreline.
• NK Slaven Belupo 4–1 HNK Rijeka — the model said 26% / 29% / 45%, most likely 0-1: result missed.