Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Águilas Doradas 2-0 Jaguares.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Águilas Doradas, 28% draw, 25% Jaguares — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Colombian Primera A predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Águilas Doradas at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares
Line-ups
- 1J. SotoG
- 26D. LozanoD
- 4A. MosqueraD
- 3J. OntanedaD
- 32J. MenaD
- 19F. LozanoM
- 6I. RojasM
- 15F. SuárezM
- 8A. RicaurteM
- 16M. RamírezM
- 21R. MárquezF
- 29T. BlandonF
- 7Eduar ArízalasF
- 20Alberto HigginsD
- 12Juan HurtadoG
- 30N. LaraD
- 13J. MelendezD
- 10Junior Alexander Noguera MachucaM
- 9A. VásquezF
- 24J. ÁvaloM
- 1D. MartínezG
- 4J. FrancoD
- 3J. MalagónD
- 29C. HenaoD
- 18L. JiménezD
- 5R. ColpaM
- 21R. BustamanteM
- 8D. RodríguezM
- 10C. ÁlvarezM
- 17D. LópezM
- 11A. RenteríaF
- 9J. MejiaF
- 6J. LoveraM
- 7W. De La RosaF
- 24S. CubidesF
- 19C. CantilloM
- 16E. BeltránF
- 12F. MosqueraG
Form going into Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
- L0-2away to Deportivo Cali28 September 2026
- L0-1away to America de Cali24 September 2026
Jaguares
- L1-2Alianza Valledupar27 September 2026
- L1-2away to Independiente Medellin22 September 2026
- D2-2Fortaleza FC11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares
- 3 October 2026Águilas Doradas 2–0 JaguaresPrimera A
- 10 May 2026Águilas Doradas 0–0 JaguaresCopa Colombia
- 23 March 2026Jaguares 1–1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
- 14 August 2024Águilas Doradas 1–0 JaguaresPrimera A
- 9 February 2024Jaguares 1–0 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
- 9 November 2023Jaguares 0–1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
Leading scorers: Águilas Doradas and Jaguares
Águilas Doradas
GoalsAssists
- Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto110
Jaguares
GoalsAssists
- A. Rentería103
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.