Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-2 Estudiantes La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 33% draw, 39% Estudiantes La Plata — fair odds of 3.57, 3.03 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Estudiantes La Plata at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1A. AguerreG
- 20F. MartínezD
- 21F. AguilarD
- 2A. MacielD
- 23D. CáceresD
- 22M. VeraM
- 18L. GonzálezM
- 28L. SequeiraM
- 10M. IacobellisM
- 7D. BarreraM
- 27M. SantosF
- 47M. CuitinoF
- 17Y. CasermeiroD
- 32N. GarridoD
- 13J. GómezD
- 44Kevin Jacobo Adrián IbañezF
- 3L. MarchiD
- 41Enzo Tiziano Ramirez SuarezD
- 43Ignacio Nahuel SantillanF
- 11H. TijanovichF
- 1F. IacovichG
- 15S. ArzamendiaD
- 14L. GonzálezD
- 26R. Funes MoriD
- 24T. PalaciosD
- 52B. KociubinskiM
- 22A. CastroM
- 29F. Pérez EscuderoM
- 34M. MonsalveM
- 18E. CetréM
- 19A. GaichF
- 27L. AlarioF
- 53Leandro Luciano Alcaraz TorresM
- 13G. BenedettiD
- 12R. BorzoneG
- 31B. GallegoM
- 40E. MancusoD
- 4S. NúñezD
- 10T. PalaciosM
- 21Lucas Ezequiel PioviM
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata
Central Cordoba de Santiago
- D1-1away to Deportivo Riestra5 October 2026
- D2-2Defensa Y Justicia18 September 2026
- L1-3away to Boca Juniors12 September 2026
- L0-1Independiente6 September 2026
Estudiantes La Plata
- W3-0Gimnasia Mendoza5 October 2026
- L1-2away to Lanus22 September 2026
- W2-1Platense12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield6 September 2026
What these results say
- Central Cordoba de Santiago did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Central Cordoba de Santiago scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Estudiantes La Plata scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Estudiantes La Plata conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Estudiantes La Plata had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 9 | Estudiantes La Plata | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata
- 10 October 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–2 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 March 2026Estudiantes La Plata 5–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 November 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 August 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 February 2025Estudiantes La Plata 3–2 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 November 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–1 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Estudiantes La Plata record →
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and Estudiantes La Plata
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
Estudiantes La Plata
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.