Vasco da Gama vs Remo Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Vasco da Gama 0-0 Remo.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Vasco da Gama, 25% draw, 22% Remo — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vasco da Gama at 53% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vasco da Gama vs Remo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Léo JardimG
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 4A. SaldiviaD
- 30Robert RenanD
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 8JairM
- 23Thiago MendesM
- 11A. GómezM
- 22A. LescanoM
- 9F. ColidioM
- 7DavidF
- 3Tchê TchêM
- 77C. SpinelliF
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
- 28AdsonF
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 18M. HinestrozaF
- 55Gabriel PereiraD
- 17Nuno MoreiraM
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 79MarcelinhoD
- 13MarllonD
- 28José WelisonD
- 27Zé IvaldoD
- 6MarlonD
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 55Zé RicardoM
- 8PatrickM
- 19Gabriel TaliariM
- 39Eduardo MeloF
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 9Gabriel PovedaF
- 10JádersonF
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 20Andres Dionicio Moreno GonzalezF
- 14L. PiccoM
- 97IvanG
- 7Jája SilvaM
- 26David FranciscoM
Form going into Vasco da Gama vs Remo
Vasco da Gama
- W2-1away to Botafogo7 October 2026
- W5-0Coritiba19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Gremio12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Fluminense6 September 2026
Remo
- D1-1Gremio7 October 2026
- L1-2Santos19 September 2026
- L1-2away to Bahia14 September 2026
- L0-1Flamengo6 September 2026
What these results say
- Vasco da Gama won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Vasco da Gama scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Vasco da Gama conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Remo did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Remo conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Remo scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 35 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vasco da Gama vs Remo
- 10 October 2026Vasco da Gama 0–0 RemoSerie A
- 11 April 2026Remo 1–1 Vasco da GamaSerie A
- 19 November 2021Vasco da Gama 2–2 RemoSerie B
- 14 August 2021Remo 2–1 Vasco da GamaSerie B
- 28 April 2016Vasco da Gama 2–1 RemoCopa Do Brasil
- 14 April 2016Remo 0–1 Vasco da GamaCopa Do Brasil
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.